Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 10/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, October 3, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+115) Cincinnati (-135)

The Chicago Cubs (73-86) are hitting the road to Great American Ball Park on Monday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (60-99). The line on this contest has Chicago at +115 while Cincinnati is coming in at -135. The over/under is 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Hayden Wesneski and Hunter Greene.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 4.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 23rd in the league. They have tallied 631 runs and hold an OBP of .311. The Cubs have hit 256 doubles as a unit and have hit 154 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 595 runs batted in as well as 1,263 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .239. Chicago is slugging .386 and have struck out 1,410 times, while drawing a walk on 488 occasions.

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The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 4.06 so far this season (21st in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,342 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 527 hitters and their FIP is 4.38 as a team for the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Cubs pitchers have given up 206 home runs and also 722 runs in total (21st in the league).

The Cubs have sent 515 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have inherited 226 runners for the year with 29.2% of those runners crossed the plate. They have accumulated 44 saves so far this year and have missed out on 30 of their 74 save opportunities. The Cubs bullpen have earned a save percentage of 59.5% and has entered the game in 135 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 57 holds this season (30th in the league). Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 162 times and also have had 184 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cubs have converted 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,687 innings, which has them sitting at 15th in baseball. The Chicago Cubs have amassed 4,229 putouts this year, as well as 1,424 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 24th in professional baseball, and have earned 137 double plays.

Wesneski (3-1 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.34 and he has faced 108 batters in the majors. He has conceded 20 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 6 free passes. His ERA is 2.33 (7 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 0.963. Wesneski has taken the mound for 27 innings and has earned 27 K's during his MLB career.

The Cincinnati Reds have tallied a team on-base percentage of .304 as well as a team batting average of .236 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,389 instances (9th in baseball) and have totaled 1,238 hits. Cincinnati has hit 155 home runs on the campaign to go along with 611 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .374 and they are scoring 4.04 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They have tallied 229 doubles, while taking a walk 439 times as well as recording 639 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 789 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.81 (742 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 208 dingers and they yield 5.12 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.390 and have a FIP of 4.59 as a staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.32 (1,376 strikeouts against 593 walks). They rank 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,336.

Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 52 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves. They sit at 23rd in the league with a save rate of 57.7%, and they have sent 557 relievers to the hill this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 141 times in high leverage situations and also on 162 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.7% out of 246 inherited base runners. Sitting with 111 save situations, the Reds have 58 holds and also 22 blown saves.

In 12,495 innings played, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (22nd in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 112 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 1,263 assists, 79 errors and are sitting with 4,165 putouts for the year.

During his MLB career, Greene has conceded 102 base hits while he has accumulated 156 punch outs in 119 innings. Greene (4-13 career mark) has earned a 4.66 earned run average while conceding 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 62 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.245 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.32 and he has faced 510 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-135) and under 7.5 runs

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