Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/30/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 30, 2022

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+180) Toronto (-210)

The Boston Red Sox (74-81) are headed to Rogers Centre on Friday where they will meet the Toronto Blue Jays (87-69). The odds on this game have Boston at +180 while Toronto is at -210. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Nick Pivetta and Alek Manoah.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .412 and have struck out 1,322 times, while taking a walk on 464 occasions. They have 681 RBI's and 1,378 hits so far this season, and their team batting average sits at .259. The Red Sox have hit 342 doubles as a team and have knocked 150 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 711 runs and have an on-base percentage of .323. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 8th in MLB.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.52 for the season (24th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,296 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.35. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 172 home runs in addition to 753 total runs (25th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 508 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.12 as a squad for the season.

The Red Sox have dispatched 557 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 230 base runners for the season and 39.6% of them crossed home plate. They have tallied 36 saves on the campaign and have blown 28 of 64 save chances. The Red Sox relievers have compiled a save rate of 56.3% and has entered the game in 148 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 84 holds this year (13th in baseball). Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 154 times and also have had 174 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have 4,125 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,387 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 17th in baseball, and have a total of 126 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 68.4% of balls in play into outs out of 12,375 innings, ranking them 26th in baseball.

Pivetta has taken the ball for 732 innings and has accumulated 777 K's during his pro baseball career. Pivetta (40-49 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.47 while going up against 3,161 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.00 (407 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.387. He has allowed 730 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 285 walks.

Toronto has accumulated 190 home runs for the season and 719 RBIs. They have 298 doubles, while taking a walk 482 times and putting up 736 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have an OBP of .326 and a batting average of .260 on the season. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .427 and they average 4.72 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,193 occasions (25th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,390 hits.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.248 and have a FIP of 3.89 as a pitching staff for the season. They are currently ranked 21st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,323. The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 669 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.95 (610 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.27 (1,348 strikeouts against 412 walks). They have allowed 178 homers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.1% of 243 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 159 occasions with runners on. With 159 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 88 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. They rank 17th in MLB with a save rate of 63.2%, and they have sent 565 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 68 save chances and they have walked away with 43 saves.

In 12,513 innings played, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (21st in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 116 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,298 assists, 79 errors and have a tally of 4,171 putouts this year.

During his MLB career, Manoah has surrendered 219 base knocks while he has earned 303 K's in 302 innings pitched. Manoah (24-9 career record) holds a 2.65 earned run average and has surrendered 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 89 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.019 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.40 and he has gone up against 1,224 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-210)

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