Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 10/2/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+155) Toronto (-180)

The Boston Red Sox (75-82) are on their way to Rogers Centre on Sunday where they will go up against the Toronto Blue Jays (88-69). The line on this contest has the Red Sox at +155 and the Blue Jays are priced at -180. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Michael Wacha and Kevin Gausman.

The Red Sox have tallied 346 doubles as a team and have hit 151 balls out of the park. Boston is slugging .411 and have been called out on strikes 1,336 times, while taking a walk on 469 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.6 runs per game, which is 9th in baseball. They have 686 RBI's as well as 1,390 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .258. They have accounted for 716 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .322.

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Red Sox pitchers have allowed 176 home runs in addition to 765 runs in total (25th in baseball). They have walked 512 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.13 as a squad so far this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35. The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.53 this year (24th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,310 batters.

Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 154 times as well as having 177 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 84 holds for the year (13th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 56.1% and has entered the game in 150 save situations. They have recorded 37 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 29 of their 66 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 230 base runners for the season with 39.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have sent 563 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Red Sox have converted 68.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,528 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 26th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have earned a total of 4,176 putouts on the year, as well as 1,402 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 17th in the majors, and have earned 127 double plays.

Wacha has taken the mound for 1,149 innings and has accumulated 1,017 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Wacha (74-49 career record) holds a FIP of 4.05 and he has faced 4,874 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.02 (514 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.306. He has conceded 1,132 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 369 free passes.

Toronto is sitting with 193 home runs on the year as well as 728 runs batted in. They have notched 300 doubles, while getting a free base 485 times and putting up 745 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with a team OBP of .326 and a batting average of .261 on the season. The Blue Jays have a team slugging % of .429 and they score 4.75 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have struck out on 1,199 occasions (25th in baseball) and have earned 1,403 base hits.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.244 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a staff this season. They sit at 21st in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,326. The Toronto pitching staff have given up 669 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.92 (610 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 3.27 (1,357 strikeouts against 415 free passes). They have allowed 178 long balls and they allow 4.30 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 25.1% of 243 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 159 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 160 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 88 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in the league holding a save rate of 63.8%, and they have dispatched 566 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the season. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 69 save chances and they have walked away with 44 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 117 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,306 assists, 79 errors and have notched a total of 4,198 putouts for the season. In 12,594 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (21st in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Gausman has surrendered 1,348 base knocks while earning 1,362 punch outs in 1,349 frames. Gausman (76-82 mark in his career) has a 3.93 earned run average while giving up 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 589 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and having a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has faced 5,679 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-180)

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