Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 10/1/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+140) Toronto (-165)

The Boston Red Sox (75-81) are headed to Rogers Centre on Saturday where they will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (87-69). The moneyline on this contest has Boston at +140 and Toronto is sitting at -165. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Brayan Bello and Ross Stripling.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .412 and have been called out on strikes 1,327 times, while drawing a walk on 466 occasions. They have accounted for 686 runs batted in as well as 1,387 hits for the year, while their team batting average comes in at .259. The Red Sox have earned 346 doubles as a squad and have knocked 151 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 716 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .323. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which has them at 8th in baseball.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.50 for the season (24th in the league), and they have struck out 1,304 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.56 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 173 home runs and also 756 runs in total (25th in the league). They have walked 509 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.11 as a squad on the campaign.

The Red Sox have sent 561 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 230 runners so far this season and 39.6% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 37 saves on the season and have blown 29 of their 66 save chances. The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 56.1% and has come into the game in 150 save situations. The relievers have racked up 84 holds this season (13th in baseball). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 154 times as well as having 177 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have transformed 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,456 innings on the field, which has them sitting 26th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 4,152 putouts thus far, as well as 1,394 assists and 84 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them ranked 17th in MLB, and have accumulated 127 double plays.

Bello has thrown 53 frames and has accounted for 51 strikeouts during his MLB career. Bello (2-7 mark in his career) has a FIP of 2.97 and he has faced 245 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.39 (26 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.688. He has surrendered 65 base knocks (11.0 hits per nine innings) and has 25 walks.

The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .427 and they average 4.72 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have hit 299 doubles, while getting a free base 482 times and putting up 736 runs. Toronto has compiled 190 home runs this season as well as 719 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,193 occasions (25th in baseball) and have totaled 1,390 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded a team OBP of .326 as well as a team batting average of .260 this season.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 669 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.95 (610 earned runs given up). They have yielded 178 dingers and they allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.248 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.89 as a staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.27 (1,348 strikeouts vs 412 free passes). They come in at 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,323.

Toronto has called on relievers to take the mound in 68 save chances and they have earned 43 saves. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have sent 565 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 181 times in high leverage situations and also on 159 occasions with base runners. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.1% out of their 243 inherited base runners. With 159 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 88 holds and also 25 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 116 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (12th in the majors). The Blue Jays have 1,298 assists, 79 errors and have amassed 4,171 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 12,513 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (21st in baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Stripling has surrendered 640 base knocks while accumulating 619 K's in 666 innings pitched. He has allowed 282 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.200 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.89 and he has gone up against 2,761 hitters during his MLB career. Stripling (37-38 record in his career) has a 3.81 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-165)

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