Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/20/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 20, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-130) Cincinnati (+110)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (58-89) will meet the Boston Red Sox (71-75) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Boston at -130 and Cincinnati is at +110. The total comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Brayan Bello and Nick Lodolo.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .410 and have struck out 1,246 times, while drawing a walk on 427 occasions. They have recorded 639 runs batted in as well as 1,307 hits this year, while their average at the plate sits at .259. The Red Sox have accrued 329 two-baggers as a team and have hit 136 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 668 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .321. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which is 8th in MLB.

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The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.45 on the campaign (24th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,224 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 471 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.01 as a team over the course of the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.60 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33. Red Sox pitchers have given up 155 long balls and 702 total runs (24th in the league).

The Red Sox have sent 526 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 223 base runners for the year and 39.0% of those players crossed the plate. They have recorded 34 saves this year and have blown 27 of their 61 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 55.7% and has entered the game in 139 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 78 holds this season (13th in MLB). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 150 times as well as having 168 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 3,900 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,321 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 117 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,700 innings, which ranks them 26th in the majors.

Bello has taken the hill for 42 innings and has racked up 42 K's thus far in his career. Bello (1-6 career mark) has earned a FIP of 2.75 while he has gone up against 194 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.10 (24 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.701. He has given up 51 base hits (10.8 hits per 9 innings) with 21 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated an on-base percentage of .307 and a team batting average of .239 this year. They have struck out on 1,294 occasions (7th in the league) and have earned 1,173 base hits. Cincinnati has tallied 146 home runs this year and 588 runs batted in. The Reds have a SLG% of .380 and they score 4.18 runs per outing (19th in the league). They have put up 220 doubles, while walking 411 times and scoring 614 runs.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.392 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.60 as a staff so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.34 (1,282 strikeouts vs 549 walks). They sit at 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,250. They have surrendered 197 homers and they surrender 5.14 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have yielded 738 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.84 (695 earned runs allowed).

With 105 save situations, the Reds have 55 holds and also 21 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relievers step onto the hill in 49 save chances and they have earned 28 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 136 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.2% out of their 231 inherited base runners. They sit at 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 523 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

In their 11,634 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 103 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the majors). The Reds have accrued 1,168 assists, 71 errors and have amassed 3,878 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Lodolo has allowed 81 base hits while he has totaled 113 K's in 87 innings. He has surrendered a total of 37 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.271 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.77 and he has gone up against 373 hitters during his career. Lodolo (4-6 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.81 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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