Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 10/1/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+165) New York (-195)

The New York Yankees (96-59) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (80-76) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Baltimore at +165 while New York opens at -195. The betting total is set at 6.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Jordan Lyles and Nestor Cortes Jr.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in MLB. They have racked up 662 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .306. The Orioles have accrued 264 two-baggers as a team and have hit 170 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 628 RBI's and 1,249 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is at .238. Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .395 and have been called out on strikes 1,340 times, while being walked on 450 occasions.

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The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 3.98 on the year (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,158 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Orioles pitchers have allowed 166 home runs and also 664 total runs (14th in MLB). They have walked 423 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.05 as a unit this season.

The Orioles have dispatched 524 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 300 base runners so far this season and 33.3% of those runners ended up scoring. They have recorded 43 saves so far this year and have blown 13 of 56 chances to save the game. The Orioles bullpen have a save percentage of 76.8% and stepped onto the hill in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 78 holds on the campaign (18th in the league). Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 208 times as well as having 172 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have 4,145 putouts this year, as well as 1,484 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 19th in pro baseball, and have a total of 145 double plays. The Orioles have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,435 innings, which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball.

Lyles has taken the mound for 1,319 innings and has totaled 1,013 K's during his pro baseball career. Lyles (65-90 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.69 while facing 5,793 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.12 (751 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.432. He has surrendered 1,444 base knocks (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 445 walks.

New York has accounted for 243 home runs on the season as well as 744 runs batted in. They have notched 221 doubles, while walking 593 times as well as putting up 785 runs. The New York Yankees have compiled an OBP of .325 and a batting average of .242 on the campaign. The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .428 and they average 5.06 runs per game (2nd in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,331 occasions (14th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,259 base hits.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.119 and have a FIP of 3.58 as a pitching staff on the year. They come in at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,135. The New York pitching staff have allowed 550 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.34 (516 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.31 (1,393 strikeouts vs 421 bases on balls). They have yielded 153 homers and they allow 3.56 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.1% out of their 244 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 177 times in high leverage situations in addition to 173 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Yankees have earned 79 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. They sit at 10th in the league with a save percentage of 68.2%, and they have sent 487 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 66 save opportunities and they have tallied 45 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 96 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in professional baseball). The Yankees have 1,418 assists, 71 errors and have earned 4,172 putouts on the season. In 12,516 innings on the field, the Yankees hold a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (2nd in MLB).

So far in his career, Cortes Jr has surrendered 279 base knocks while he has earned 334 K's in 323 innings. He has allowed a total of 132 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.170 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.37 and he has gone up against 1,333 hitters in his career. Cortes Jr (18-9 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.68 ERA and has surrendered 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+165)

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