Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, July 3, 2022

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+150) Minnesota (-175)

The Minnesota Twins (44-36) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (35-43) at Target Field on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Baltimore at +150 while Minnesota opens at -175. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Tyler Wells and Devin Smeltzer.

Baltimore is slugging .379 and have struck out 706 times, while being walked on 213 occasions. They have accrued 300 runs batted in as well as 601 base knocks for the season, and their batting average sits at .228. The Orioles have accounted for 138 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 79 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 316 runs and have an on-base percentage of .296. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.1 runs per contest, which is 23rd in MLB.

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The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.03 so far this season (20th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 551 hitters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. Orioles pitchers have conceded 81 home runs in addition to 343 total runs (21st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 221 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a unit on the season.

Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 103 times as well as having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 39 holds this year (16th in MLB). The Orioles relievers have compiled a save rate of 76.0% and has come into the game in 66 save situations. They have compiled 19 saves this season and have not converted 6 of 25 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 150 base runners over the course of the season and 28.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 266 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Orioles have converted 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,177 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have notched a total of 2,059 putouts on the campaign, as well as 744 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which puts them in 25th in MLB, and have accumulated 71 double plays.

Wells has taken the ball for 126 frames and has 108 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.62 (51 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.979. He has surrendered 96 base hits (6.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 28 free passes. Wells (8-7 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.03 while he has faced 502 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Minnesota Twins are sitting with a team OBP of .322 and a team batting average of .252 this season. They have been rung up on 655 occasions (12th in MLB) and have earned a total of 677 hits. Minnesota has accounted for 94 home runs on the year and 346 runs batted in. The Twins have a team slugging percentage of .415 and they have an average of 4.49 runs per outing (12th in the league). They have put up 139 two-baggers, while taking a walk 262 times and earning 359 runs.

The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.212 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a squad for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 (644 strikeouts vs 232 free passes). They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 626. They have relinquished 88 HR's and they yield 3.99 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 314 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.69 (290 earned runs relinquished).

Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 32 save chances and they have come away with 18 saves. They sit at 28th in baseball with a save percentage of 56.3%, and they have sent 260 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 84 times in high leverage situations in addition to 66 occasions with base runners. Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 24.8% out of their 101 inherited base runners. Sitting with 87 save situations, the Twins have compiled 54 holds and 14 blown saves.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 58 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in the majors). The Twins have accrued 655 assists, 42 errors and have accounted for 2,125 putouts on the campaign. In 6,375 innings played, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (7th in professional baseball).

Smeltzer (8-3 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.68 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.00 and he has gone up against 487 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 49 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.158 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. Thus far in his career, Smeltzer has given up 110 hits while earning 87 K's in 120 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+150)

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