Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/29/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, September 29, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+115) Boston (-135)

The Baltimore Orioles (80-74) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Thursday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (73-81). The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at +115 and the Red Sox are sitting at -135. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Mike Baumann and Nathan Eovaldi.

Baltimore is slugging .395 and have struck out 1,320 times, while drawing a walk on 447 occasions. They have earned 625 runs batted in and 1,233 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .238. The Orioles have tallied 261 doubles as a squad and have knocked 168 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 658 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .306. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 19th in baseball.

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Orioles pitchers have given up 163 home runs and 656 runs (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 417 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a squad on the season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28. The Orioles are sitting with a team ERA of 3.98 so far this season (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,149 batters.

Orioles relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 207 times in addition to having 170 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 78 holds so far this year (17th in baseball). The Orioles relievers have earned a save percentage of 76.8% and stepped onto the hill in 137 save situations. They have recorded 43 saves on the campaign and have blown 13 of their 56 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 299 runners on the year and 33.4% of them ended up scoring. The Orioles have dispatched 519 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have 4,097 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,462 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them ranked 20th in baseball, and have accumulated 144 double plays. The Orioles have converted 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,291 innings, which has them sitting 20th in baseball.

Baumann has thrown 35 innings and is sitting with 22 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Baumann (2-4 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.82 while going up against 157 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.91 (23 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.571. He has surrendered 41 hits (10.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 14 walks.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .323 as well as a batting average of .259 for the year. They have struck out on 1,318 occasions (15th in MLB) and have tallied 1,371 hits. Boston has a total of 148 long balls for the year and 678 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .411 and they have an average of 4.60 runs per game (9th in the league). They have hit 339 two-baggers, while walking 460 times as well as scoring 708 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 752 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.54 (689 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 171 home runs and they relinquish 4.95 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.349 with a FIP of 4.13 as a team on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.54 (1,284 strikeouts against 506 walks). They come in at 26th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,337.

Boston has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 63 save opportunities and they have converted 35 saves. They are ranked 27th in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 554 relievers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 173 times in high leverage situations and on 154 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 39.6% out of their 230 inherited runners. Sitting with 145 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 82 holds and 28 blown saves.

In their 12,294 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (26th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 125 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 1,378 assists, 82 errors and have notched a total of 4,098 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Eovaldi has conceded 1,300 base knocks and he has 1,053 K's in 1,248 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 580 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.325 and having a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.97 and he has gone up against 5,318 hitters in his career. Eovaldi (66-68 career record) holds a 4.18 ERA while giving up 9.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+115)

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