Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+115) Boston (-135)

The Baltimore Orioles (80-73) are on their way to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they will go up against the Boston Red Sox (72-81). The moneyline on this game has Baltimore at +115 and Boston is priced at -135. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Dean Kremer and Rich Hill.

The Orioles have recorded 259 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 164 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .392 and have been called out on strikes 1,312 times, while drawing a walk on 445 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 19th in MLB. They have 616 RBI's as well as 1,218 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is sitting at .237. They have racked up 649 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .305.

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Orioles pitchers have allowed 162 home runs and also 643 runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 409 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.02 as a unit so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28. The Orioles have a team ERA of 3.93 so far this year (16th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,142 hitters.

The Orioles bullpen have a save percentage of 76.8% and stepped onto the hill in 137 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 292 runners so far this year with 31.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. Orioles bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 204 times as well as having 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 513 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 78 holds for the season (17th in MLB). They have recorded 43 saves this season and have blown 13 of their 56 save opportunities.

The Orioles have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,219 innings, which has them sitting 19th in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have notched a total of 4,073 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,449 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which puts them in 18th in baseball, and have accumulated 141 double plays.

Kremer (9-13 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.43 while he has faced 793 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 189 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 66 free passes. His earned run average is 4.53 (94 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.366. Kremer has thrown 186 innings and is sitting with 150 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .411 and they earn 4.54 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have put up 338 doubles, while taking a walk 452 times as well as racking up 695 runs. Boston is sitting with 147 home runs so far this season to go along with 666 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,311 instances (13th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,360 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have recorded a team OBP of .321 and a team batting average of .258 this year.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 743 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.51 (680 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 167 dingers and they give up 4.93 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.346 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.10 as a team over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.53 (1,276 strikeouts vs 504 walks). They are sitting at 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,322.

Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 63 save chances and they have tallied 35 saves. They rank 26th in baseball holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 549 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 175 times in high leverage situations in addition to 153 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 39.3% of 229 inherited runners. With 145 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 82 holds and 28 blown saves.

Out of their 12,213 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (26th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 124 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 1,369 assists, 82 errors and have earned 4,071 putouts this year.

During his pro baseball career, Hill has allowed 1,056 base knocks while he has earned 1,279 K's in 1,247 innings pitched. He has conceded 537 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.232 and having a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.66 and he has faced 5,234 hitters during his pro baseball career. Hill (81-59 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.88 earned run average while surrendering 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+115)

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