Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/27/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+100) Boston (-120)

The Baltimore Orioles (79-73) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (72-80). The moneyline on this game has Baltimore at +100 and Boston is coming in at -120. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Kyle Bradish and Michael Wacha.

The Orioles have accounted for 257 doubles as a squad and have hit 159 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .388 and have been called out on strikes 1,305 times, while being walked on 437 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 21st in the league. They have 603 RBI's and 1,204 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .236. They are sitting with 635 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304.

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Orioles pitchers have allowed 160 long balls and also 635 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 406 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a unit on the year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. The Orioles have a team ERA of 3.91 for the year (15th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,138 hitters.

The Orioles have dispatched 511 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 291 base runners on the campaign with 31.6% of those runners crossed the plate. They have 43 saves on the year and have blown 13 of their 56 save chances. The Orioles relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 76.8% and has come into the game in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 78 holds for the year (17th in MLB). Orioles relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 203 times in addition to having 167 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,138 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 19th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 4,046 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,439 assists and 84 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them ranked 18th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 138 double plays.

Bradish has thrown 110 innings and has accounted for 103 K's in his MLB career. Bradish (4-7 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.31 while going up against 468 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.65 (57 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.350. He has surrendered 112 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 37 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a batting average of .258 for the season. They have struck out on 1,307 instances (13th in the league) and have earned 1,345 base hits. Boston is sitting with 145 long balls for the season as well as 658 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .410 and they score 4.52 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have tallied 336 doubles, while walking 449 times and putting up 687 runs.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.338 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a squad this season. They come in at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,307. The Boston pitching staff have given up 729 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.46 (668 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 (1,269 strikeouts vs 496 bases on balls). They have yielded 162 dingers and they relinquish 4.87 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.9% of 226 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 174 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with runners on. With 145 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 82 holds and 28 blown saves. They are currently ranked 26th in MLB with a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 544 relievers onto the field so far this season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 63 save chances and they have come away with 35 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 123 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 1,361 assists, 80 errors and have notched a total of 4,044 putouts for the season. Out of their 12,132 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (26th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Wacha has allowed 1,124 base knocks while totaling 1,014 strikeouts in 1,146 frames. He has given up a total of 508 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has gone up against 4,856 hitters during his MLB career. Wacha (74-49 career win-loss record) has a 3.99 ERA and has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+100)

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