Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Date: Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-245) Washington (+205)

The Atlanta Braves (96-58) are headed to Nationals Park on Wednesday where they will play the Washington Nationals (53-100). The line on this contest has Atlanta at -245 and Washington opens at +205. The total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jake Odorizzi and Jon Gray.

The Braves have tallied 282 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 230 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .443 and have struck out 1,420 times, while being walked on 448 occasions. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have accrued 720 runs batted in and 1,327 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .253. They are sitting with 754 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .318.

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The Braves have an earned run average of 3.45 on the campaign (5th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,489 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 479 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.45 as a team so far this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Braves pitchers have given up 140 long balls and also 580 total runs (6th in the league).

Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 130 times in addition to having 170 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 103 holds for the year (3rd in MLB). The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 65.4% and has entered the game in 184 save situations. They have accumulated 51 saves for the season and have not converted 27 out of their 78 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 187 base runners on the campaign with 32.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Braves have dispatched 484 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Atlanta Braves have earned 4,132 putouts for the season, as well as 1,313 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which ranks 8th in pro baseball, and have 103 double plays. The Braves have transformed 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,396 innings, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball.

Odorizzi (73-69 career record) has a FIP of 4.16 while he has gone up against 5,239 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,131 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 423 free passes. His ERA is 4.00 (553 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.249. Odorizzi has taken the ball for 1,244 innings and has tallied 1,165 punch outs so far in his career.

The Washington Nationals have tallied an OBP of .312 and a team batting average of .250 this year. They have struck out on 1,143 occasions (28th in the league) and have recorded 1,285 base hits. Washington has recorded 130 home runs on the year as well as 553 runs batted in. The Nationals hold a slugging percentage of .380 and they are earning 3.77 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have 238 doubles, while taking a walk 422 times and putting up 577 runs.

The Washington pitching staff have relinquished 799 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.95 (735 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 226 homers and they give up 5.39 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.431 in addition to having a FIP of 4.94 as a unit for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.19 (1,155 strikeouts vs 528 free passes). They have a ranking of 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,383.

Washington has called on relievers to take the mound in 44 save opportunities and they have converted 28 saves. They rank 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 557 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their relievers have come in 125 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with runners on. Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.9% of 235 inherited base runners. Sitting with 102 save situations, the Nationals have 57 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In 12,021 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (25th in professional baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 123 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in baseball). The Nationals have accrued 1,336 assists, 99 errors and have amassed 4,007 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, Gray has surrendered 923 hits while earning 975 strikeouts in 945 innings pitched. Gray (60-56 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.47 earned run average while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 470 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.310 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and he has gone up against 4,031 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-245)

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