Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/25/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, September 25, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-120) Philadelphia (+100)

Citizens Bank Park is where the Philadelphia Phillies (83-67) will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (93-58) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Braves at -120 and the Phillies are coming in at +100. The betting total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Kyle Gibson.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .442 and have been rung up 1,384 times, while taking a walk on 437 occasions. They have accounted for 700 runs batted in and 1,296 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .253. The Braves have recorded 276 doubles as a unit and have knocked 224 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 732 runs while holding a team OBP of .317. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which is 3rd in baseball.

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Braves pitchers have surrendered 137 long balls and also 570 runs in total (6th in the league). They have walked 470 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.44 as a unit over the course of the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.11 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.47 over the course of the season (5th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,463 batters.

The Braves bullpen have recorded a save rate of 64.9% and has come into the game in 182 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 185 base runners over the course of the season and 32.4% of those players crossed the plate. Braves pitchers have come into the game with runners on 127 times as well as having 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 475 relievers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen have racked up 102 holds so far this season (3rd in baseball). They have compiled 50 saves this season and have blown 27 out of their 77 save opportunities.

The Atlanta Braves have amassed 4,045 putouts this year, as well as 1,277 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 8th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 100 double plays. The Braves have transformed 70.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,135 innings, ranking them 14th in pro baseball.

Morton has taken the hill for 1,788 frames and has accumulated 1,688 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.01 (796 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.290. He has conceded 1,672 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 635 walks. Morton (116-101 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.74 and he has faced 7,638 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Philadelphia has hit 192 home runs over the course of the season as well as 678 runs batted in. They have put up 236 doubles, while walking 441 times as well as scoring 704 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated a team OBP of .318 and a batting average of .255 so far this season. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .426 and they average 4.69 runs per game (7th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,256 occasions (18th in the league) and have a total of 1,301 hits.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.249 in addition to having a FIP of 3.61 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.03 (1,314 strikeouts against 433 bases on balls). They come in at 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,224. They have conceded 138 dingers and they yield 4.29 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 633 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.93 (579 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 141 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 83 holds and 17 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 57 save opportunities and they have walked away with 40 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 123 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 186 inherited base runners. They rank 7th in the league holding a save rate of 70.2%, and they have dispatched 482 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 117 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (5th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,302 assists, 66 errors and have notched a total of 3,982 putouts this season. In their 11,946 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (23rd in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Gibson has given up 1,534 base knocks while he has totaled 1,186 K's in 1,493 innings pitched. Gibson (89-90 career record) has a 4.48 earned run average and has conceded 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 743 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.382 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 and he has faced 6,415 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-120)

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