Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/23/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, September 23, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-67) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (93-56) at Citizens Bank Park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at +125 and Philadelphia is coming in at -145. The over/under is set at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Jake Odorizzi and Aaron Nola.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.9 runs per game, which has them at 3rd in baseball. They have accounted for 729 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318. The Braves have recorded 273 two-baggers as a team and have hit 224 balls out of the park. They have accrued 698 RBI's as well as 1,274 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate is at .253. Atlanta has a slugging % of .445 and have been called out on strikes 1,356 times, while being walked on 429 occasions.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 3.45 so far this year (5th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,435 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Braves pitchers have surrendered 135 long balls in addition to 557 runs in total (7th in MLB). They have walked 456 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.44 as a team this season.

The Braves have sent 466 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 183 base runners on the season and 32.2% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 50 saves on the campaign and have blown 26 of their 76 save opportunities. The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 65.8% and has entered the game in 180 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 101 holds for the season (3rd in MLB). Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 125 times in addition to having 168 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,910 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 14th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned a total of 3,970 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,260 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 7th in baseball, and have accumulated 100 double plays.

Odorizzi has thrown 1,240 frames and is sitting with 1,159 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.95 (545 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.241. He has given up 1,120 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 420 free passes. Odorizzi (73-68 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.15 while he has gone up against 5,214 batters in the major leagues.

The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .426 and they are recording 4.69 runs per game (7th in the league). They have 233 doubles, while taking a walk 427 times and racking up 690 runs. Philadelphia has accounted for 190 home runs for the season to go along with 664 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,224 occasions (19th in baseball) and have tallied 1,273 base knocks. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a team OBP of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .255 on the campaign.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 629 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.99 (576 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 137 homers and they yield 4.36 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.252 and have a FIP of 3.63 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.05 (1,285 strikeouts against 421 bases on balls). They are sitting at 13th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,205.

Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 56 save chances and they have tallied 39 saves. They rank 7th in baseball holding a save rate of 69.6%, and they have sent 472 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 144 times in high leverage situations in addition to 120 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.9% out of 183 inherited runners. With 139 save situations, the Phillies have 82 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 113 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 1,269 assists, 65 errors and have notched a total of 3,898 putouts for the year. Out of their 11,694 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (23rd in the majors).

In his career, Nola has conceded 1,045 base hits while accumulating 1,355 strikeouts in 1,209 innings pitched. Nola (76-61 career mark) has a 3.63 earned run average while conceding 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 488 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.131 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 4.20 and he has faced 4,951 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+125)

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