Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/22/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, September 22, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-140) Philadelphia (+120)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (80-67) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (93-55) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at -140 and Philadelphia is coming in at +120. The betting total is set at 7. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Ranger Suarez.

The Braves have accrued 273 doubles as a team and have hit 224 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .445 and have been called out on strikes 1,356 times, while being walked on 429 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.9 runs per outing, which has them at 3rd in the league. They have 698 RBI's and 1,274 base knocks on the year, while their batting average is sitting at .253. They have accounted for 729 runs and have an OBP of .318.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.45 on the campaign (5th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,435 batters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Braves pitchers have given up 135 home runs and 557 runs in total (7th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 456 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.44 as a squad on the year.

The Braves bullpen have a save rate of 65.8% and has entered the game in 180 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 183 runners for the season with 32.2% of those players crossed home plate. Braves relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 125 times and also have had 168 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 466 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have racked up 101 holds on the season (3rd in baseball). They have recorded 50 saves on the year and have blown 26 out of their 76 save chances.

The Atlanta Braves have 3,970 putouts this year, as well as 1,260 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 7th in baseball, and have 100 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,910 innings on the field, which ranks them 14th in MLB.

Fried has taken the ball for 622 frames and has totaled 606 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.11 (215 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.170. He has allowed 558 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 170 walks. Fried (53-24 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.33 and he has faced 2,550 hitters in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .255 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,224 occasions (19th in the league) and have 1,273 hits. Philadelphia has a total of 190 home runs so far this year and 664 runs batted in. The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .426 and they score 4.69 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have tallied 233 doubles, while getting a free base 427 times as well as putting up 690 runs.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.252 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.63 as a unit on the season. They rank 13th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,205. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 629 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.99 (576 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.05 (1,285 strikeouts vs 421 bases on balls). They have given up 137 homers and they yield 4.36 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

With 139 save situations, the Phillies have amassed 82 holds and also 17 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have come away with 39 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 144 times in high leverage situations and on 120 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.9% of 183 inherited base runners. They sit at 7th in MLB holding a save percentage of 69.6%, and they have sent 472 relievers onto the diamond on the season.

In their 11,694 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (23rd in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 113 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (5th in professional baseball). The Phillies have racked up 1,269 assists, 65 errors and have 3,898 putouts so far this season.

Suarez (24-13 career record) has earned a 3.04 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and he has gone up against 1,311 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 106 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.255 and a FIP of 3.6. During his pro baseball career, Suarez has surrendered 286 base hits while he has totaled 279 punch outs in 314 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+120)

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