Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/27/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, July 27, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-165) Philadelphia (+140)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (50-46) will take on the Atlanta Braves (58-40) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Braves at -165 and the Phillies are at +140. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Charlie Morton and Kyle Gibson.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.8 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 4th in MLB. They have a total of 466 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .313. The Braves have recorded 179 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 151 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 443 runs batted in and 829 hits for the season, while their batting average comes in at .248. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .441 and have been called out on strikes 915 times, while drawing a walk on 283 occasions.

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The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.64 on the season (7th in the league), and their staff has rung up 940 batters. They have walked 315 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.45 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.23. Braves pitchers have relinquished 84 long balls and also 392 runs in total (8th in baseball).

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 85 times and also have had 110 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 60 holds over the course of the season (7th in the league). The Braves bullpen have recorded a save rate of 64.2% and has come into the game in 115 save situations. They have earned 34 saves on the season and have not converted 19 of their 53 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 130 runners so far this season with 36.9% of those runners crossed the plate. The Braves have dispatched 308 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Braves have turned 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,914 innings, which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 2,638 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 851 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which ranks 3rd in baseball, and they have twisted 71 double plays.

Morton has taken the hill for 1,730 innings and has totaled 1,613 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Morton (112-99 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.74 and he has faced 7,400 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.01 (771 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.297. He has surrendered 1,627 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 616 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies hold an on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .245 this season. They have struck out on 813 occasions (16th in baseball) and are sitting with 799 hits. Philadelphia has compiled 124 long balls over the course of the season as well as 425 RBIs. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .415 and they are recording 4.62 runs per game (7th in the league). They have 153 doubles, while taking a walk 292 times and putting up 444 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 398 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.79 (359 earned runs conceded). They have given up 92 HR's and they allow 4.20 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.224 and have a FIP of 3.70 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.01 (842 strikeouts against 280 walks). They rank 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 764.

With 85 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 50 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relievers step onto the hill in 34 save chances and they have recorded 24 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 96 times in high leverage situations and also on 93 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.5% out of their 139 inherited base runners. They rank 9th in baseball with a save percentage of 70.6%, and they have dispatched 318 relievers to the mound this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 76 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in professional baseball). The Phillies have racked up 848 assists, 46 errors and have a total of 2,559 putouts for the season. In their 7,677 innings played, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (16th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Gibson has conceded 1,470 base knocks while tallying 1,138 K's in 1,438 frames. He has conceded a total of 714 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.380 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.21 and he has gone up against 6,176 hitters so far in his MLB career. Gibson (84-87 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.47 ERA while surrendering 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-165)

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