Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/14/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, October 14, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+110) Philadelphia (-105)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves on Friday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1 after Atlanta won Game 2 by a score of 3-0. The moneyline on this game has the Braves at +110 while the Phillies are sitting at -105. The total comes in at 6.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Charlie Morton and Aaron Nola.

Atlanta is slugging .443 and have struck out 1,498 times, while taking a walk on 470 occasions. They have 753 runs batted in as well as 1,394 hits this season, while their batting average is at .253. The Braves have accrued 298 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 243 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 789 runs scored and hold an OBP of .317. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league.

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Braves pitchers have surrendered 148 home runs and 609 total runs (5th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 500 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.46 as a team so far this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.46 on the campaign (5th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,554 batters.

The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.3% and has entered the game in 200 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 193 runners on the year with 31.6% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 136 times in addition to having 182 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 518 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have accumulated 114 holds on the season (2nd in the league). They have accumulated 55 saves on the year and have not converted 28 of 83 chances to get a save.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 4,344 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,382 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball, and they have turned 110 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 13,032 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 14th in the majors.

Morton has taken the ball for 1,797 innings and has accumulated 1,697 strikeouts in his career. Morton (116-101 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.77 while facing 7,684 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.03 (805 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.294. He has allowed 1,687 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 639 free passes.

The Phillies have a team slugging % of .422 and they score 4.61 runs per contest (7th in baseball). They have tallied 255 two-baggers, while taking a walk 478 times as well as scoring 747 runs. Philadelphia has 205 home runs on the season as well as 719 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,363 instances (18th in baseball) and have earned 1,392 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .253 on the campaign.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.256 and have a FIP of 3.60 as a squad this year. They are currently ranked 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,330. The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 685 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (630 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.07 (1,423 strikeouts vs 463 free passes). They have surrendered 150 long balls and they relinquish 4.32 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of their 197 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 149 times in high leverage situations in addition to 130 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Phillies have 88 holds and also 18 blown saves. They are ranked 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have sent 516 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the contest in 60 save opportunities and they have converted 42 saves.

Out of their 12,855 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (25th in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 129 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in pro baseball). The Phillies have 1,416 assists, 69 errors and have a total of 4,285 putouts for the season.

In his MLB career, Nola has given up 1,056 base hits while he has totaled 1,380 strikeouts in 1,228 frames. Nola (78-62 career mark) holds a 3.60 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 492 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.125 and having a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.23 and he has faced 5,022 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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