Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, May 3, 2022

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

The New York Mets (16-7) welcome the Atlanta Braves (10-13) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The starting pitchers are Charlie Morton and Carlos Carrasco.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are earning 3.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 20th in the league. They have notched a total of 89 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .303. The Braves have tallied 45 doubles as a unit and have hit 28 balls out of the park. They have 83 runs batted in and 171 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .227. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .402 and have struck out 207 times, while taking a walk on 75 occasions.

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Braves pitchers have given up 19 long balls and 103 total runs (26th in the league). They have walked 86 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.61 as a team on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. The Braves hold a team earned run average of 4.28 over the course of the season (23rd in baseball), and their staff has struck out 216 hitters.

The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 80.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 20 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 36 runners this year and 38.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. Braves pitchers have come into the game with runners on 25 times as well as having 16 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 75 relievers to the mound on the year. The relievers are sitting with 10 holds for the year (18th in the league). They have accumulated 8 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 2 of their 10 save opportunities.

The Braves have turned 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,818 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 18th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 606 putouts on the year, in addition to 198 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which ranks 5th in baseball, and they have turned 14 double plays.

Morton has taken the hill for 1,643 innings and has earned 1,507 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.03 (736 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.306. He has allowed 1,559 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 587 free passes. Morton (108-97 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.74 and he has gone up against 7,042 opposing batters in the major leagues.

New York has hit 18 long balls for the year as well as 101 runs batted in. They have 38 doubles, while taking a walk 81 times and scoring 108 runs. The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .344 and a batting average of .262 so far this season. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .388 and they are scoring 4.70 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 178 instances (24th in MLB) and have a total of 203 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.029 with a FIP of 3.13 as a pitching staff this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.48 (230 strikeouts vs 66 bases on balls). They sit at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 145. They have given up 19 HR's and they yield 3.12 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 71 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 2.99 (68 earned runs surrendered).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 42.1% of 19 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 17 times in high leverage situations and on 19 occasions with runners on base. With 28 save situations, the Mets have earned 18 holds and 4 blown saves. They rank 24th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 75 relievers onto the field on the season. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 10 save opportunities and they have converted 6 saves.

In 1,845 innings on the field, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 73.8% (2nd in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 14 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .991 (3rd in baseball). The Mets have accrued 180 assists, 7 errors and have a tally of 615 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Carrasco has allowed 1,241 base knocks while accumulating 1,378 K's in 1,318 frames. He has surrendered a total of 566 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.202 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.02 and he has gone up against 5,442 batters so far in his career. Carrasco (90-79 career win-loss mark) has a 3.86 ERA while conceding 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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