Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 10/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, October 3, 2022

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Miami Marlins (66-92) welcome the Atlanta Braves (99-59) at LoanDepot Park on Monday. The starting pitchers are Bryce Elder and Jesus Luzardo.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .444 and have been rung up 1,454 times, while being walked on 454 occasions. They have tallied 737 RBI's and 1,362 base knocks on the season, and their batting average sits at .253. The Braves have hit 288 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 239 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 773 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .317. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 3rd in MLB.

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Braves pitchers have relinquished 142 home runs and 589 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 486 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.44 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.13 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18. The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.41 for the season (5th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,519 batters.

The Braves have sent 502 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 190 base runners so far this year with 31.6% of those runners crossed the plate. They have accumulated 53 saves on the year and have not converted 27 of 80 chances to save the game. The Braves relievers have recorded a save percentage of 66.3% and has entered the game in 191 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 108 holds this season (2nd in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 133 times as well as having 175 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,726 innings on the field, which has them ranked 13th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 4,242 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,352 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and have earned 105 double plays.

Elder has taken the mound for 49 frames and has earned 42 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Elder (2-3 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.73 and he has faced 205 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.76 (15 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.224. He has surrendered 38 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 22 free passes.

The Marlins have a SLG% of .362 and they are recording 3.58 runs per game (28th in baseball). They have put up 242 doubles, while taking a walk 422 times as well as scoring 565 runs. Miami has tallied 140 home runs for the year and 534 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,392 occasions (8th in baseball) and have a total of 1,205 hits. The Miami Marlins have a team OBP of .293 and a team batting average of .229 so far this season.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.264 in addition to having a FIP of 3.93 as a squad on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.83 (1,391 strikeouts against 491 bases on balls). They are sitting at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,276. They have surrendered 171 home runs and they concede 4.26 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 662 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.89 (604 earned runs conceded).

Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.8% out of 193 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 164 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with base runners. With 144 save situations, the Marlins have 73 holds and also 29 blown saves. They are currently ranked 24th in the league with a save percentage of 57.4%, and they have dispatched 514 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. Miami has had relievers enter the game in 68 save opportunities and they have tallied 39 saves.

In 12,585 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have gotten 138 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in professional baseball). The Marlins have accrued 1,429 assists, 69 errors and have a total of 4,195 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Luzardo has allowed 234 hits while earning 281 strikeouts in 260 frames. Luzardo (12-18 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.70 ERA while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 136 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.289 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has faced 1,108 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta

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