Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 3, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-125) Cincinnati (+105)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (26-50) will play the Atlanta Braves (45-33) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has Atlanta at -125 and Cincinnati is sitting at +105. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Luis Castillo.

The Braves have accounted for 148 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 118 balls out of the park. Atlanta is slugging .441 and have been called out on strikes 735 times, while drawing a walk on 228 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 8th in MLB. They have amassed 353 runs batted in as well as 658 hits on the season, while their batting average comes in at .248. They have accounted for 371 runs scored and hold an OBP of .313.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 3.78 this season (11th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 746 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.93 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Braves pitchers have surrendered 66 home runs and 324 runs in total (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 255 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.45 as a team this season.

The Braves have dispatched 248 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 110 base runners this season and 37.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 26 saves on the year and have blown 16 of 42 save chances. The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 61.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 93 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 50 holds over the course of the season (7th in MLB). Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 73 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,092 putouts for the season, in addition to 684 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which is 6th in MLB, and have accumulated 58 double plays. The Braves have turned 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,276 innings, ranking them 21st in pro baseball.

Morton has thrown 1,705 innings and has earned 1,583 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.03 (764 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.302. He has given up 1,614 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 606 walks. Morton (111-98 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.74 while he has faced 7,304 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has hit 71 home runs over the course of the season as well as 316 RBIs. They have 123 doubles, while taking a walk 212 times as well as scoring 330 runs. The Cincinnati Reds hold a team OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .242 for the season. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .381 and they are scoring 4.34 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have been rung up on 638 occasions (18th in the league) and have totaled 609 base knocks.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 426 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 5.56 (408 earned runs given up). They have conceded 109 dingers and they allow 5.81 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.442 in addition to having a FIP of 4.79 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.28 (660 strikeouts against 289 walks). They are sitting at 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 663.

With 54 save situations, the Reds have tallied 30 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to enter the game in 24 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 59 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score rate of 41.3% of 126 inherited base runners. They are ranked 18th in the league with a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 268 relief pitchers onto the field on the season.

Out of their 5,946 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (24th in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 45 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in the majors). The Reds have accrued 560 assists, 42 errors and have accounted for 1,982 putouts so far this year.

Castillo (43-53 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.69 ERA and has conceded 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and he has gone up against 3,182 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 313 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.215 and having a FIP of 3.7. During his MLB career, Castillo has surrendered 649 base knocks while he has totaled 830 punch outs in 764 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+105)

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