Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/1/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 1, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-140) Cincinnati (+120)

The Atlanta Braves (44-32) are hitting the road to Great American Ball Park on Friday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (26-48). The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at -140 while Cincinnati is at +120. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Max Fried and Mike Minor.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in baseball. They have racked up 354 runs and have an on-base percentage of .313. The Braves have accrued 142 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 113 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 336 RBI's and 629 hits this season, and their team batting average is .247. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .440 and have struck out 711 times, while being walked on 222 occasions.

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Braves pitchers have conceded 60 home runs in addition to 308 runs in total (12th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 247 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.37 as a unit over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25. The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.71 this season (8th in the league), and their staff has struck out 727 hitters.

The Braves have sent 240 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 109 runners so far this season and 37.6% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 25 saves for the year and have not converted 16 of 41 save opportunities. The Braves bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 61.0% and has entered the game in 91 save situations. The relievers have earned 49 holds on the season (6th in baseball). Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 72 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,042 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,014 putouts thus far, in addition to 656 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which puts them in 6th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 57 double plays.

Fried has thrown 541 frames and has totaled 539 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.24 (195 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.199. He has allowed 494 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 155 free passes. Fried (47-20 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.38 while he has faced 2,232 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds have tallied an OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .241 for the season. They have been rung up on 611 occasions (20th in the league) and have a total of 580 hits. Cincinnati has a total of 68 HRs this season to go along with 306 RBIs. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .381 and they are recording 4.37 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have notched 120 doubles, while walking 207 times as well as scoring 319 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 394 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 5.33 (376 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 101 homers and they concede 5.58 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.414 in addition to having a FIP of 4.70 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.30 (639 strikeouts vs 278 free passes). They are sitting at 19th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 620.

With 54 save situations, the Reds have earned 30 holds and also 9 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 24 save chances and they have walked away with 15 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 59 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score rate of 42.6% out of their 122 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 17th in the league with a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 257 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 41 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in the majors). The Reds have 538 assists, 41 errors and have accumulated 1,907 putouts so far this year. Out of their 5,721 innings on the field, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (23rd in professional baseball).

Minor (80-82 record in his career) has earned a 4.18 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.16 and he has faced 5,568 batters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 621 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.232 and a FIP of 4.1. In his MLB career, Minor has allowed 1,261 hits and he has 1,218 strikeouts in 1,336 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+120)

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