Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/9/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, August 9, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-135) Boston (+115)

The Boston Red Sox (54-56) will take on the Atlanta Braves (64-46) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Braves at -135 and the Red Sox are coming in at +115. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Charlie Morton and Rich Hill.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 4.8 runs per contest, which has them at 6th in baseball. They have earned a total of 522 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .312. The Braves have recorded 202 doubles as a unit and have smacked 167 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 496 runs batted in and 930 hits on the year, and their team batting average is .249. Atlanta is slugging .440 and have struck out 1,030 times, while drawing a walk on 310 occasions.

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Braves pitchers have conceded 93 home runs and 441 total runs (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 354 batters and their FIP is 3.45 as a unit this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.67 for the season (7th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,045 hitters.

The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 64.3% and has come into the game in 124 save situations. The relievers have inherited 145 base runners so far this year with 35.2% of them ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 96 times in addition to having 116 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 340 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have 65 holds over the course of the season (7th in MLB). They have earned 36 saves over the course of the season and have blown 20 of their 56 save opportunities.

The Braves have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,841 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 20th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 2,947 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 950 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which ranks 7th in baseball, and have 77 double plays.

Morton (112-100 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.73 and he has faced 7,448 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 1,636 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 619 walks. His earned run average is 4.00 (775 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.295. Morton has taken the ball for 1,741 innings and has earned 1,626 strikeouts in his career.

Boston has compiled 107 HRs this season as well as 471 runs batted in. They have recorded 246 two-baggers, while walking 311 times and notching 493 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an OBP of .314 and a batting average of .253 on the campaign. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .408 and they are earning 4.48 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 920 occasions (14th in the league) and are sitting with 957 hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.318 and have a FIP of 4.08 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.62 (921 strikeouts against 351 free passes). They are currently ranked 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 939. They have surrendered 121 home runs and they relinquish 4.81 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 523 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.39 (478 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 107 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 62 holds and 22 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to enter the game in 45 save chances and they have walked away with 23 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 124 times in high leverage situations and also on 118 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 37.4% out of their 174 inherited base runners. They rank 29th in the league with a save percentage of 51.1%, and they have dispatched 400 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 96 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (18th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have 983 assists, 63 errors and have accounted for 2,937 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 8,811 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (25th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Hill has surrendered 1,014 hits and he has 1,244 strikeouts in 1,208 innings pitched. Hill (78-57 career record) is the owner of a 3.84 earned run average and has given up 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 516 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.226 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and he has gone up against 5,066 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+115)

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