Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/6/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, September 6, 2022

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+150) San Diego (-175)

Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (74-61) will meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (64-69) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Diamondbacks at +150 and the Padres are coming in at -175. The over/under is 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Merrill Kelly and Joe Musgrove.

The Diamondbacks have accrued 216 doubles as a unit and have smacked 144 balls out of the stadium. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .389 and have been called out on strikes 1,075 times, while drawing a walk on 461 occasions. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 4.4 runs per outing, which puts them at 13th in MLB. They have recorded 552 runs batted in as well as 1,017 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is at .232. They have 590 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .310.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.20 for the year (22nd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 991 hitters. They have walked 404 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.11 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.45 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Diamondbacks pitchers have relinquished 137 home runs and also 603 total runs (21st in MLB).

The Diamondbacks bullpen have a save percentage of 59.2% and has come into the game in 117 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 167 base runners this season with 31.1% of them ended up scoring. Diamondbacks relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 123 times in addition to having 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 455 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have 66 holds this season (18th in baseball). They have accumulated 29 saves for the year and have missed out on 20 of their 49 chances to get a save.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated 3,525 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,154 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball, and have 115 double plays. The Diamondbacks have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,575 innings on the field, which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball.

Kelly has taken the ball for 537 innings and has tallied 459 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Kelly (35-32 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.93 and he has gone up against 2,224 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.84 (229 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.225. He has given up 507 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 151 walks.

The San Diego Padres hold a team on-base percentage of .321 and a team batting average of .241 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,106 occasions (19th in MLB) and have 1,100 hits. San Diego has tallied 123 home runs for the season to go along with 578 RBIs. The Padres hold a team slugging percentage of .380 and they have an average of 4.42 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have hit 231 doubles, while taking a walk 493 times and putting up 597 runs.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.226 and have a FIP of 3.78 as a unit over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.05 (1,200 strikeouts against 393 bases on balls). They are sitting at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,077. They have conceded 138 home runs and they concede 4.22 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 562 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.88 (517 earned runs relinquished).

San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 39.9% of 168 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 138 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 124 save situations, the Padres have tallied 60 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 8th in MLB holding a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 394 relievers to the mound on the campaign. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 60 save opportunities and they have earned 42 saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 98 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in the majors). The Padres have accrued 1,161 assists, 66 errors and have a tally of 3,597 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 10,791 innings on the diamond, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (14th in pro baseball).

Musgrove (49-53 career mark) has earned a 3.84 earned run average and has given up 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.95 and he has faced 3,440 batters thus far in his career. He has conceded 353 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.164 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. In his MLB career, Musgrove has allowed 756 hits while tallying 817 strikeouts in 827 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-175)

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