Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, July 17, 2022

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+140) San Diego (-165)

The San Diego Padres (51-41) welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (39-51) at Petco Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Diamondbacks at +140 and the Padres open at -165. The over/under comes in at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Merrill Kelly and Mike Clevinger.

As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB. They have earned 377 runs and have an on-base percentage of .302. The Diamondbacks have compiled 136 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 103 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 353 RBI's as well as 660 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .223. Arizona has a slugging rate of .382 and have been called out on strikes 772 times, while drawing a walk on 316 occasions.

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The Diamondbacks hold a team ERA of 4.38 on the campaign (24th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 650 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 283 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.30 as a team this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.33. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 99 home runs and 431 runs in total (24th in the league).

The Diamondbacks bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 60.0% and has come into the game in 76 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 113 runners so far this year with 23.9% of those runners ended up scoring. Diamondbacks pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 83 times as well as having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 312 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have 45 holds so far this year (19th in baseball). They have earned 18 saves over the course of the season and have blown 12 of their 30 chances to get a save.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 2,380 putouts so far this season, in addition to 758 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .982 which puts them in 28th in baseball, and they have turned 77 double plays. The Diamondbacks have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,140 innings on the field, which has them sitting 18th in pro baseball.

Kelly has pitched in 477 innings and has tallied 401 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.08 (216 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.264. He has surrendered 464 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 139 free passes. Kelly (31-32 career record) holds a FIP of 4.08 and he has gone up against 1,998 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres have an on-base percentage of .317 in addition to a batting average of .241 on the year. They have struck out on 755 occasions (18th in the league) and have 751 hits. San Diego has tallied 75 long balls for the year to go along with 389 RBIs. The Padres have a SLG% of .373 and they are recording 4.38 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have hit 159 doubles, while getting a free base 325 times and racking up 403 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 371 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.79 (346 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 90 HR's and they surrender 4.06 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.198 and have a FIP of 3.74 as a team so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.87 (819 strikeouts vs 285 free passes). They come in at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 700.

Sitting with 88 save situations, the Padres have 40 holds and 14 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 44 save chances and they have tallied 30 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 95 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with runners on. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.3% out of their 109 inherited base runners. They rank 11th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.2%, and they have sent 261 relief pitchers onto the diamond this year.

In their 7,401 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in the majors). The San Diego Padres have turned 69 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). The Padres have accrued 836 assists, 35 errors and have earned a total of 2,467 putouts so far this season.

Clevinger (46-25 mark in his career) holds a 3.23 ERA while allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and he has gone up against 2,376 opposing hitters during his career. He has allowed 209 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.184 and having a FIP of 3.6. Thus far in his career, Clevinger has conceded 470 base knocks while he has earned 643 K's in 582 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-165)

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