Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+165) Philadelphia (-217)

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies (50-49, 2nd in NL East) will take on the Washington Nationals (45-54, 4th in NL East) on Wednesday. The Nationals open this game at +165 while the Phillies are coming in at -217. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Patrick Corbin and Zack Wheeler.

The Nationals have tallied 154 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 113 balls out of the stadium. Washington has a slugging % of .416 and have struck out 814 times, while drawing a walk on 306 occasions. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, which is 16th in the league. They have compiled 413 runs batted in as well as 836 hits for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .257. They are sitting with 430 runs while holding a team OBP of .329.

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The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.36 for the year (17th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 836 batters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.66 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Nationals pitchers have allowed 134 home runs in addition to 457 runs (18th in the league). They have walked 314 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.49 as a team this year.

The Nationals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 59.5% and has entered the game in 90 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 124 base runners over the course of the season with 38.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Nationals relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 83 times and also have had 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 335 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have notched 52 holds on the season (11th in the league). They have compiled 22 saves so far this year and have not converted 15 of 37 save opportunities.

The Nationals have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,647 innings on the field, ranking them 9th in MLB. The Washington Nationals have a total of 2,549 putouts on the year, in addition to 833 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which has them ranked 21st in professional baseball, and have a total of 707 double plays.

Corbin has thrown 1,317 innings and has accounted for 1,275 strikeouts in his career. Corbin (78-77 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.76 while he has faced 5,582 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.99 (584 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.297. He has surrendered 1,313 base knocks (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 395 free passes.

The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .400 and they average 4.49 runs per game (13th in the league). They have recorded 158 doubles, while taking a walk 348 times and recording 445 runs. Philadelphia has 113 home runs over the course of the season as well as 424 runs batted in. They have struck out on 915 occasions (9th in the league) and have tallied 786 base knocks. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a team on-base percentage of .319 as well as a batting average of .241 this season.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.312 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a team over the course of the season. They come in at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 828. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 467 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.44 (427 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.95 (906 strikeouts against 307 bases on balls). They have surrendered 130 long balls and they give up 4.86 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball).

Philadelphia has had relievers enter the game in 46 save opportunities and they have walked away with 23 saves. They sit at 28th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 311 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 105 times in high leverage situations and on 87 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 44.5% of 128 inherited runners. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 41 holds and also 23 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 88 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (19th in the majors). The Phillies have accrued 882 assists, 59 errors and have earned a total of 2,595 putouts this season. Out of their 7,785 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (25th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Wheeler has conceded 871 base hits while he has tallied 939 strikeouts in 953 frames. Wheeler (56-45 career record) has earned a 3.51 ERA and has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 372 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.246 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.97 and he has gone up against 3,997 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+165)

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