Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+110) Miami (-141)

Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins (63-86, 4th in NL East) play the Washington Nationals (61-88, 5th in NL East) at Marlins Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Nationals coming in at +110 and the Marlins are at -141. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The men taking the mound will be Josh Rogers and Trevor Rogers.

Washington is slugging .419 and have been called out on strikes 1,187 times, while drawing a walk on 503 occasions. They have accounted for 629 runs batted in as well as 1,274 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is at .259. The Nationals have tallied 241 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 169 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 664 runs while holding a team OBP of .335. As a team, the Washington Nationals are recording 4.5 runs per outing, which is 16th in MLB.

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The Nationals have compiled a team ERA of 4.74 on the campaign (23rd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,236 hitters. They have walked 487 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.81 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35. Nationals pitchers have yielded 225 home runs and 747 runs (24th in MLB).

The Nationals have dispatched 512 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 193 base runners so far this year with 38.9% of them crossed the plate. They have earned 33 saves on the year and have blown 32 of 65 chances to save the game. The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 50.8% and stepped onto the hill in 155 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 88 holds on the campaign (5th in MLB). Nationals bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 130 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,520 innings on the field, which ranks them 16th in professional baseball. The Washington Nationals have a tally of 3,841 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,252 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them sitting 24th in MLB, and they have twisted 1,073 double plays.

Rogers has taken the hill for 43 innings and has accounted for 23 K's in his pro baseball career. Rogers (2-3 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 6.94 while facing 195 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 6.23 (30 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.477. He has allowed 48 hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has 16 free passes.

Miami has hit 145 long balls this season as well as 561 RBIs. They have tallied 214 two-baggers, while getting a free base 419 times and scoring 587 runs. The Miami Marlins have earned a team on-base percentage of .301 and a batting average of .234 so far this year. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .374 and they are earning 3.94 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,438 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,158 base hits.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.265 in addition to having a FIP of 4.01 as a squad for the year. They are currently ranked 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,165. The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 631 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.86 (559 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 2.59 (1,255 strikeouts against 485 free passes). They have relinquished 148 long balls and they relinquish 4.35 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of 187 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 172 times in high leverage situations and on 120 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 122 save situations, the Marlins have 67 holds and 25 blown saves. They are ranked 25th in MLB with a save rate of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 545 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Miami has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 55 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves.

The Miami Marlins have twisted 134 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 1,338 assists, 111 errors and have a total of 3,914 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 11,742 innings played, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (20th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Rogers has conceded 132 hits while he has totaled 180 strikeouts in 150 innings pitched. Rogers (8-9 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.35 ERA and has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 56 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.16 and he has faced 639 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+110)

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