Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, June 27, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (-161) Miami (+125)

Marlins Park is the site where Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (32-43, 5th in NL East) will play the Washington Nationals (36-37, 2nd in NL East) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Nationals priced at -161 and the Marlins are at +125. The O/U opens at 6.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Max Scherzer and Sandy Alcantara.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are scoring 3.9 runs per game, which has them at 28th in MLB. They have accumulated 285 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .321. The Nationals have tallied 104 doubles as a unit and have hit 76 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 275 runs batted in and 591 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate sits at .249. Washington is slugging .394 and have struck out 624 times, while taking a walk on 223 occasions.

Nationals pitchers have surrendered 92 long balls in addition to 300 runs (10th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 238 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.33 as a team this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.23. The Nationals hold a team earned run average of 3.90 this season (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 624 hitters.

Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 57 times as well as having 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 38 holds on the campaign (11th in baseball). The Nationals bullpen have a save rate of 66.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 66 save situations. They have recorded 18 saves this year and have missed out on 9 of their 27 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 87 base runners this season with 27.6% of them earned a run for their team. The Nationals have dispatched 245 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Nationals have turned 71.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,646 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 3rd in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals have earned 1,882 putouts this year, in addition to 618 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which ranks 13th in baseball, and have accumulated 534 double plays.

Scherzer has thrown 2,439 innings and has racked up 2,896 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Scherzer (181-97 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.14 and he has faced 9,883 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.18 (861 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.091. He has surrendered 2,003 base hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 659 walks.

The Miami Marlins are sitting with an on-base percentage of .301 and a team batting average of .232 this year. They have struck out on 719 occasions (6th in MLB) and have earned a total of 577 hits. Miami has hit 72 home runs on the year as well as 282 RBIs. The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .370 and they earn 3.96 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have 105 doubles, while taking a walk 223 times as well as scoring 297 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 277 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.39 (248 earned runs yielded). They have given up 58 home runs and they allow 3.79 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.170 with a FIP of 3.50 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 (638 strikeouts vs 215 bases on balls). They sit at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 555.

Miami has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 29 save opportunities and they have tallied 13 saves. They are currently ranked 29th in MLB with a save percentage of 44.8%, and they have dispatched 266 relievers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 82 times in high leverage situations in addition to 48 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.2% out of their 69 inherited runners. With 62 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 33 holds and also 16 blown saves.

Out of their 5,928 innings played, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (14th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 675 assists, 48 errors and have notched a total of 1,976 putouts this year.

So far in his career, Alcantara has conceded 327 base hits while earning 320 punch outs in 383 frames. He has allowed a total of 149 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.12 and he has gone up against 1,600 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Alcantara (15-25 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.50 earned run average and has conceded 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (-161)

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