Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/23/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, September 23, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+150) Cincinnati (-200)

Patrick Corbin and the Washington Nationals (62-89, 5th in NL East) travel to Great American Ball Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (78-74, 3rd in NL Central). The Reds open this matchup at -200 while the Nationals are coming in at +150. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Patrick Corbin and Sonny Gray.

Washington is slugging .418 and have been called out on strikes 1,202 times, while drawing a walk on 515 occasions. They have accumulated 642 RBI's as well as 1,295 hits on the year, while their team batting average sits at .259. The Nationals have hit 246 two-baggers as a team and have hit 170 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 678 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .336. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 16th in the league.

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Nationals pitchers have allowed 229 home runs and 756 runs (23rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 492 opposing players and their FIP is 4.81 as a team for the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34. The Nationals have an ERA of 4.71 on the year (22nd in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,253 batters.

Nationals relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 133 times in addition to having 163 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 91 holds on the campaign (5th in the league). The Nationals relievers have recorded a save percentage of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 159 save situations. They have earned 33 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 33 of their 66 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 196 base runners for the season and 38.8% of them crossed the plate. The Nationals have dispatched 520 relievers to the mound this year.

The Washington Nationals have a tally of 3,895 putouts on the year, as well as 1,270 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and have accumulated 1,089 double plays. The Nationals have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,682 innings on the field, which ranks them 14th in baseball.

Corbin (80-83 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.87 while facing 5,826 batters in the majors. He has conceded 1,379 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 412 walks. His ERA is 4.11 (626 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.305. Corbin has taken the mound for 1,372 innings and has earned 1,322 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Cincinnati Reds have tallied an on-base percentage of .327 as well as a team batting average of .248 on the season. They have been rung up on 1,347 instances (11th in the league) and have tallied 1,259 hits. Cincinnati has 204 long balls on the year as well as 701 runs batted in. The Reds have a team SLG% of .426 and they score 4.81 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have 272 doubles, while getting a free base 515 times and racking up 731 runs.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.345 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.50 (1,428 strikeouts against 572 free passes). They are currently ranked 15th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,238. They have conceded 192 long balls and they relinquish 4.73 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 708 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.35 (651 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 139 save situations, the Reds have recorded 71 holds and also 25 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 66 save chances and they have walked away with 41 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 178 times in high leverage situations and on 151 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.5% of 226 inherited runners. They rank 14th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.1%, and they have sent 536 relievers onto the field this season.

In their 12,117 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 116 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (18th in baseball). The Reds have accrued 1,334 assists, 86 errors and are sitting with 4,039 putouts over the course of the season.

In his MLB career, Gray has allowed 1,083 hits and he has 1,212 K's in 1,258 innings pitched. Gray (82-71 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.57 earned run average and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 499 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.216 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and he has gone up against 5,244 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+150)

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