Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+150) New York (-227)

T.J. Zeuch and the Toronto Blue Jays (32-28, 3rd in AL East last year) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Sunday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (33-27, 2nd in AL East last season). The line on this matchup has the Blue Jays priced at +150 and the Yankees are at -227. The total has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are T.J. Zeuch and Domingo German.

The Blue Jays accounted for 104 two-baggers as a unit and knocked 88 baseballs out of the park last season. Toronto was slugging .441 and were rung up 508 times, while taking a walk on 203 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays scored 5.0 runs per outing, which had them sitting at 7th in the league. They accumulated 288 RBI's in addition to 516 base knocks last year, and their batting average was at .255. They earned 302 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .325.

The Blue Jays had a team ERA of 4.60 over the course of the prior season (17th in baseball), and the staff rung up 519 batters. Their K/BB ratio was 2.08 and their pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.46. Blue Jays pitchers surrendered 81 home runs and also 312 runs in total (6th in the league). They walked 250 opposing batters and their FIP came in at 4.73 as a squad for the prior year. Blue Jays relief pitchers entered the contest with runners on base in 76 outings in addition to 87 games with high leverage. The bullpen finished with 35 holds last year (9th in MLB). The Blue Jays relievers compiled a save rate of 58.6% and entered the game in 67 save situations. They accumulated 17 saves last season and missed out on 12 of their 29 chances to save the game. The relievers inherited 129 runners last season with 26.4% of them ended up scoring. The Blue Jays sent 226 relief pitchers to the hill for the previous season.

Zeuch had a FIP of 4.87 and he earned an ERA+ of 282. He surrendered 2 earned runs last year with a K/BB ratio of 0.8. He gave up 7.1 H/9 and his WHIP was 1.147. His earned run average was at 1.59 and he fanned 3 opposing hitters. T.J. Zeuch gave up 9 base knocks in 11.1 innings pitched over the course of last season. Zeuch has thrown 34 innings and has 23 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.71 (14 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.353. He has surrendered 31 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 15 free passes. Zeuch (2-2 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.32 while he has gone up against 146 opposing batters in the major leagues.

They recorded 87 two-baggers, while taking a walk 251 times as well as scoring 315 runs. The Yankees held a team slugging % of .447 and they scored 5.25 runs per game (4th in baseball). New York recorded 94 home runs for the previous season to go along with 301 runs batted in. They were called out on strikes on 480 occasions (23rd in MLB) and earned 473 hits. The New York Yankees held an on-base percentage of .342 as well as a team batting average of .247 over the course of the prior season.

The Yankees finished with a team WHIP of 1.246 in addition to having a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff over the course of last season. Their K/BB ratio sat at 3.14 (528 strikeouts against 168 walks). They were sitting at 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 455. They relinquished 83 homers and they surrender 4.86 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The New York pitching staff surrendered 270 runs for the previous season while having an ERA of 4.35 (242 earned runs yielded). New York called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 42 save situations and they earned 14 saves. They ranked 18th in baseball holding a save rate of 58.3%, and they sent 175 relievers to the mound last season. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound in 50 games with high leverage in addition to 54 outings with base runners. New York relievers had an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of their 87 inherited runners. Wrapping up the year with 24 save chances, the Yankees accrued 16 holds and also 10 blown saves.

German earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.9 with 153 total punch outs and an ERA+ of 113 in his last season of 2019. His WHIP was 1.15 and he earned a FIP of 4.72. He took the hill for 143.0 innings while conceding 7.9 H/9. German allowed 125 total hits while conceding 64 earned runs (4.03 ERA). German (20-11 career mark) has a 4.52 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.37 and he has faced 1,031 batters in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 122 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.226 and having a FIP of 4.5. In his career, German has given up 217 hits while he has tallied 273 strikeouts in 243 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (+150)

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