Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+130) New York (-196)

Corey Kluber and the New York Yankees (33-27, 2nd in AL East last season) host the Toronto Blue Jays (32-28, 3rd in AL East last year) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays priced at +130 and the Yankees are at -196. The O/U is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ross Stripling and Corey Kluber.

The Blue Jays compiled 104 doubles as a team last season and hit 88 balls out of the park. Toronto had a slugging percentage of .441 and were rung up 508 times, while being walked on 203 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays scored 5.0 runs per outing, which had them sitting at 7th in MLB. They accrued 288 runs batted in in addition to 516 base knocks during the previous year, while their batting average came in at .255. They accumulated 302 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .325.

The Blue Jays finished with a team earned run average of 4.60 over the course of the prior season (17th in baseball), and their staff struck out 519 batters. Their pitching staff walked 250 players from the other team and their FIP was 4.73 as a unit for the prior year. They accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.08 and their pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.46. Blue Jays pitchers gave up 81 home runs and also 312 total runs (6th in the league). The Blue Jays had dispatched 226 relief pitchers to the mound during the previous year. The relievers inherited 129 runners in the prior season with 26.4% of them crossed home plate. They accumulated 17 saves over the course of last season and did not convert 12 of their 29 chances to get a save. The Blue Jays relievers had a save rate of 58.6% and entered the game in 67 save situations. The relief pitchers had a total of 35 holds over the course of the prior season (9th in the league). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers entered the contest with opponents on base in 76 games in addition to 87 games with high leverage.

Ross Stripling gave up 18 hits in 15.2 innings in which he pitched last season. His ERA sat at 6.32 and he punched out 13 hitters. He gave up 11 earned runs last season with a K/BB ratio of 1.9. He gave up 10.3 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was at 1.596. Stripling had a FIP of 3.7 and his ERA+ was 70. Stripling (23-27 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.89 and he has faced 1,816 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 428 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 109 free passes. His earned run average is 3.77 (183 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.231. Stripling has thrown 436 frames and has accumulated 417 strikeouts in his career.

The New York Yankees had an OBP of .342 in addition to a batting average of .247 over the course of last season. They were rung up on 480 occasions (23rd in MLB) and accounted for 473 hits. New York hit 94 HRs over the course of the prior season and 301 runs batted in. The Yankees held a team slugging % of .447 and they tallied 5.25 runs per outing (4th in the league). They notched 87 doubles, while taking a walk 251 times and putting up 315 runs.

The Yankees held a team WHIP of 1.246 and had a FIP of 4.39 as a staff over the course of last season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.14 (528 strikeouts vs 168 free passes). They were sitting at 21st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 455. They allowed 83 home runs and they relinquished 4.86 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The New York pitching staff surrendered 270 runs during the previous year while having an ERA of 4.35 (242 earned runs relinquished). New York relief pitchers had an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of their 87 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers took the field in 50 games with high leverage and 54 outings with base runners. Wrapping up the year with 24 chances for a save, the Yankees had 16 holds and 10 blown saves. They were ranked 18th in the league with a save percentage of 58.3%, and they sent 175 relievers onto the diamond last year. New York had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 42 save situations and they walked away with 14 saves.

Kluber had a FIP of 4.19 last season. In his career, Kluber has allowed 1,165 hits and he has 1,462 K's in 1,342 innings. Kluber (98-58 record in his career) has earned a 3.16 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 471 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.086 and having a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.99 and he has faced 5,401 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (+130)

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