Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, July 25, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+110) New York (-135)

Citi Field is the venue where Carlos Carrasco and the New York Mets (50-43, 1st in NL East) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (48-44, 4th in AL East) on Sunday. The Mets open this contest at -135 while the Blue Jays are priced at +110. The over/under opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Ross Stripling and Carlos Carrasco.

The Blue Jays have hit 153 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 144 baseballs out of the park. Toronto is slugging .456 and have struck out 751 times, while taking a walk on 277 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 5.2 runs per outing, which is 3rd in baseball. They have tallied 455 runs batted in and 826 hits on the year, while their batting average is at .264. They are sitting with 477 runs scored and hold an OBP of .327.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 4.03 on the campaign (12th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 851 hitters. They have walked 291 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.38 as a squad this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.92 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 130 long balls in addition to 394 runs (12th in the league).

Blue Jays pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 104 times and also have had 91 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 40 holds for the season (26th in baseball). The Blue Jays bullpen have earned a save percentage of 61.5% and has come into the game in 69 save situations. They have earned 16 saves on the season and have blown 10 of their 26 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners this year with 27.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have dispatched 316 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Blue Jays have turned 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,197 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 11th in pro baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 2,399 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 813 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 21st in baseball, and have 603 double plays.

Stripling has thrown 511 innings and has accumulated 495 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.96 (225 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.242. He has conceded 501 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 134 free passes. Stripling (26-33 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.10 while he has gone up against 2,138 opposing batters in the majors.

The New York Mets have accumulated an on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .234 on the year. They have struck out on 798 occasions (23rd in the league) and have totaled 688 base hits. New York has recorded 104 long balls so far this year as well as 352 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging % of .385 and they are earning 3.95 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They have hit 121 doubles, while walking 299 times and scoring 367 runs.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.195 with a FIP of 3.72 as a team so far this year. They sit at 1st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 662. The New York pitching staff have allowed 352 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.49 (304 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.11 (852 strikeouts vs 274 bases on balls). They have conceded 93 homers and they concede 4.05 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of 111 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 92 times in high leverage situations and also on 74 occasions with runners on. With 81 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 39 holds and 15 blown saves. They are ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 63.4%, and they have sent 289 relievers onto the diamond for the season. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 41 save opportunities and they have walked away with 26 saves.

In 7,050 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (13th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 73 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in baseball). The Mets have 750 assists, 53 errors and have notched a total of 2,350 putouts this year.

Carrasco (88-73 career mark) has a 3.77 earned run average while allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.07 and he has faced 5,115 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 520 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.196 and having a FIP of 3.4. Thus far in his career, Carrasco has given up 1,165 base knocks while he has tallied 1,305 punch outs in 1,242 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (+110)

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