Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-145) Minnesota (+122)

Robbie Ray and the Toronto Blue Jays (85-68, 4th in AL East) are headed to Target Field on Saturday where they'll take on the Minnesota Twins (68-85, 5th in AL Central). The Twins open this contest at +122 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -145. The O/U opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Robbie Ray and Charlie Barnes.

The Blue Jays have recorded 261 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 241 baseballs out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging rate of .462 and have struck out 1,154 times, while being walked on 474 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are recording 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in MLB. They have accrued 765 runs batted in as well as 1,359 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .265. They have accumulated 794 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .331.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.89 this season (8th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,368 batters. They have walked 443 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a squad for the year. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.23. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 195 long balls and also 623 runs (7th in MLB).

Blue Jays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 160 times in addition to having 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 62 holds on the year (28th in baseball). The Blue Jays relievers have earned a save percentage of 64.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 113 save situations. They have tallied 31 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 17 of 48 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 227 runners on the campaign with 28.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 507 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated 3,952 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,298 assists and 87 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 20th in the majors, and have accumulated 982 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,856 innings, which has them sitting 9th in the majors.

Ray (61-57 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.00 while he has gone up against 4,371 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 908 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 446 free passes. His ERA is 3.99 (454 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.322. Ray has pitched in 1,024 innings and has 1,280 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Minnesota Twins have tallied a team on-base percentage of .313 and a team batting average of .240 this year. They have struck out on 1,316 occasions (15th in MLB) and have recorded 1,226 base hits. Minnesota has tallied 215 home runs for the season and 646 RBIs. The Twins hold a slugging percentage of .423 and they are recording 4.50 runs per contest (16th in baseball). They have 256 doubles, while getting a free base 496 times as well as putting up 684 runs.

The Minnesota pitching staff have relinquished 792 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.89 (722 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 228 homers and they concede 5.36 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.322 and have a FIP of 4.67 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.73 (1,242 strikeouts vs 455 free passes). They come in at 26th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,303.

Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 45.4% out of 163 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 168 times in high leverage situations and also on 123 occasions with base runners. With 139 save situations, the Twins have compiled 80 holds and also 20 blown saves. They are ranked 7th in MLB with a save rate of 65.5%, and they have dispatched 491 relievers to the mound on the season. Minnesota has called on relievers to enter the contest in 58 save chances and they have earned 38 saves.

The Minnesota Twins have twisted 132 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Twins have racked up 1,340 assists, 103 errors and have accounted for 3,991 putouts on the season. In 11,973 innings on the diamond, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (19th in the majors).

Barnes (0-3 career record) has a 6.61 earned run average while giving up 10.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.25 and he has faced 141 batters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 23 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.532 and a FIP of 5.2. During his pro baseball career, Barnes has allowed 36 base hits while he has totaled 15 strikeouts in 31 frames.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (-145)

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