Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, July 29, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-105) Boston (-116)

Hyun Jin Ryu and the Toronto Blue Jays (49-47, 4th in AL East) go to Fenway Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (62-39, 1st in AL East). The Red Sox open this contest at -116 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -105. The O/U opens at 10. The expected starting pitchers will be Hyun Jin Ryu and Eduardo Rodriguez.

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Toronto is slugging .456 and have struck out 775 times, while drawing a walk on 287 occasions. They have amassed 473 RBI's and 864 hits so far this year, and their team batting average is .264. The Blue Jays have tallied 162 doubles as a team and have hit 150 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 495 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .327. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league.

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Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 135 long balls and also 410 runs in total (12th in baseball). They have walked 302 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.37 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.92 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.04 on the year (12th in the league), and they have rung up 881 batters.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 113 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 42 holds so far this year (26th in baseball). The Blue Jays bullpen have a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 73 save situations. They have recorded 16 saves on the year and have not converted 12 out of their 28 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 162 base runners for the season and 25.3% of them ended up scoring. The Blue Jays have sent 333 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 2,498 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 850 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 20th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 630 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,494 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 11th in MLB.

Ryu has taken the hill for 917 innings and has totaled 826 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 3.01 (307 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.165. He has conceded 863 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 206 walks. Ryu (68-40 career record) holds a FIP of 3.37 while going up against 3,749 hitters in the majors.

Boston has recorded 132 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 483 RBIs. They have hit 217 two-baggers, while getting a free base 293 times and putting up 514 runs. The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .257 on the campaign. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .443 and they average 5.09 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have been rung up on 874 occasions (18th in MLB) and have tallied 877 hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.371 and have a FIP of 3.89 as a staff for the year. They come in at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 877. The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 445 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.06 (402 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 (939 strikeouts against 346 free passes). They have allowed 104 homers and they concede 4.49 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.5% out of 154 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations and on 99 occasions with runners on. With 116 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 65 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league with a save percentage of 68.8%, and they have dispatched 335 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 48 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 101 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 924 assists, 68 errors and have accounted for 2,677 putouts so far this year. In 8,031 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 66.0% (30th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, Rodriguez has allowed 765 hits while he has tallied 820 K's in 795 innings. Rodriguez (58-36 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.18 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 369 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.303 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.03 and he has gone up against 3,386 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-105)

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