Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-116) Boston (-105)

Tanner Houck and the Boston Red Sox (62-39, 1st in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (49-47, 4th in AL East) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The line on this game has the Blue Jays coming in at -116 and the Red Sox are at -105. The over/under is set at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Steven Matz and Tanner Houck.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 5.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league. They have notched a total of 495 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. The Blue Jays have accumulated 162 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 150 balls out of the park. They have 473 runs batted in and 864 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .264. Toronto has a slugging % of .456 and have been rung up 775 times, while being walked on 287 occasions.

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The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.04 for the year (12th in the league), and they have rung up 881 batters. They have walked 302 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a team on the year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.92 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 135 home runs and 410 total runs (12th in the league).

Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 113 times and also have had 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 42 holds so far this season (26th in MLB). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 57.1% and has entered the game in 73 save situations. They have 16 saves so far this season and have blown 12 of 28 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 162 base runners for the season and 25.3% of those players crossed the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 333 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have 2,498 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 850 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which puts them in 20th in the majors, and they have turned 630 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,494 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 11th in baseball.

Matz has taken the ball for 666 innings and has earned 641 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 4.35 (322 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.320. He has allowed 676 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 204 free passes. Matz (39-46 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.43 and he has faced 2,855 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .443 and they score 5.09 runs per contest (4th in MLB). They have 217 doubles, while walking 293 times as well as recording 514 runs. Boston is sitting with 132 home runs this year as well as 483 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 874 occasions (17th in MLB) and have tallied 877 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a batting average of .257 for the season.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.371 in addition to having a FIP of 3.89 as a team for the season. They have a ranking of 28th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 877. The Boston pitching staff have yielded 445 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.06 (402 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 (939 strikeouts vs 346 free passes). They have surrendered 104 long balls and they surrender 4.49 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

Sitting with 116 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 65 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Boston has had relievers enter the game in 48 save chances and they have tallied 33 saves. Their relievers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations and on 99 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.5% out of 154 inherited base runners. They sit at 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.8%, and they have dispatched 335 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 101 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 924 assists, 68 errors and have 2,677 putouts on the season. In their 8,031 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 66.0% (30th in the majors).

Houck (3-2 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 1.54 ERA while allowing 5.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.38 and he has faced 137 opposing batters in his career. He has given up 6 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.029 and a FIP of 2.6. During his MLB career, Houck has allowed 23 base hits and he has 44 punch outs in 35 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-116)

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