Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, July 27, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-141) Boston (+110)

Fenway Park is the site where Garrett Richards and the Boston Red Sox (61-39, 1st in AL East) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (49-46, 4th in AL East) on Tuesday. The Blue Jays open this contest at -141 while the Red Sox are coming in at +110. The over/under is set at 11. The pitchers expected to start will be Robbie Ray and Garrett Richards.

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The Blue Jays have hit 160 doubles as a team and have smacked 149 baseballs out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .457 and have been called out on strikes 770 times, while drawing a walk on 285 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have recorded 469 runs batted in and 855 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .264. They have tallied 491 runs scored and have an OBP of .327.

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Blue Jays pitchers have given up 133 home runs in addition to 405 runs (12th in baseball). They have walked 299 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.36 as a unit so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.92 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 4.03 so far this season (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 874 hitters.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 110 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 41 holds this year (27th in MLB). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 59.3% and stepped onto the hill in 71 save situations. They have compiled 16 saves so far this season and have blown 11 out of their 27 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 base runners over the course of the season and 25.8% of those runners crossed the plate. The Blue Jays have dispatched 329 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 2,474 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 842 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 622 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,422 innings on the field, which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball.

Ray has taken the mound for 954 innings and has accounted for 1,184 strikeouts so far in his career. Ray (57-56 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.12 while going up against 4,099 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.13 (438 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.345. He has given up 856 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 428 walks.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .442 and they average 5.09 runs per game (4th in the league). They have put up 215 two-baggers, while taking a walk 290 times and notching 509 runs. Boston has recorded 130 home runs on the season as well as 478 RBIs. They have struck out on 867 instances (17th in baseball) and are sitting with 868 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have a team OBP of .320 and a team batting average of .257 for the year.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.372 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.89 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.72 (934 strikeouts vs 344 bases on balls). They are sitting at 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 868. They have conceded 103 homers and they surrender 4.49 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have given up 441 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.06 (398 earned runs given up).

With 115 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 65 holds and also 15 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 47 save chances and they have converted 32 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 117 times in high leverage situations in addition to 99 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.5% of 154 inherited runners. They are ranked 5th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.1%, and they have dispatched 332 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 100 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (28th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 915 assists, 68 errors and have notched a total of 2,650 putouts on the campaign. In their 7,950 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 66.0% (30th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Richards has given up 834 base hits while totaling 780 K's in 902 frames. Richards (53-46 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.77 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 378 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.296 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.33 and he has faced 3,820 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-141)

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