Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, July 26, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-116) Boston (-105)

Alek Manoah and the Toronto Blue Jays (49-45, 4th in AL East) travel to Fenway Park on Monday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (60-39, 1st in AL East). The odds on this contest have the Blue Jays priced at -116 and the Red Sox are at -105. The O/U opens at 10.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Alek Manoah and Nick Pivetta.

As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 5.2 runs/g, which is 3rd in the league. They have notched a total of 487 runs and have an OBP of .327. The Blue Jays have hit 156 doubles as a squad and have hit 149 balls out of the park. They have 465 runs batted in and 846 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average is .265. Toronto is slugging .457 and have been called out on strikes 763 times, while taking a walk on 281 occasions.

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The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 4.01 on the season (12th in baseball), and they have struck out 867 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 296 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a squad on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.93 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 132 home runs and 400 runs (12th in baseball).

Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 108 times and also have had 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 41 holds on the year (27th in MLB). The Blue Jays relievers have compiled a save rate of 61.5% and has come into the game in 70 save situations. They have earned 16 saves on the campaign and have blown 10 out of their 26 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 156 base runners on the season with 26.3% of them crossed the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 324 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,350 innings, which ranks them 12th in pro baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 2,450 putouts thus far, as well as 835 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 615 double plays.

Manoah has thrown 40 frames and has earned 52 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Manoah (2-1 career mark) has a FIP of 4.25 and he has faced 168 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 2.90 (13 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.066. He has given up 28 base knocks (6.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 15 free passes.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .443 and they score 5.09 runs per outing (4th in baseball). They have notched 212 two-baggers, while taking a walk 289 times and scoring 504 runs. Boston has hit 130 home runs on the year to go along with 473 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 857 occasions (17th in baseball) and have accounted for 863 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .257 over the course of the season.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 437 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.06 (394 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 102 home runs and they yield 4.50 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.371 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.88 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.73 (927 strikeouts against 339 bases on balls). They rank 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 859.

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have recorded 31 saves. They rank 6th in MLB holding a save percentage of 67.4%, and they have dispatched 328 relievers to the hill this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 116 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.1% out of 151 inherited base runners. With 114 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 65 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

Out of their 7,869 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a efficiency on defense of 65.9% (30th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 98 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in the majors). The Red Sox have 904 assists, 68 errors and have notched a total of 2,623 putouts on the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Pivetta has conceded 518 hits while totaling 551 punch outs in 509 frames. He has conceded 294 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.408 and a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.77 and he has gone up against 2,209 batters thus far in his career. Pivetta (29-34 career win-loss mark) has a 5.20 ERA and has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-105)

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