Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, June 11, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+110) Boston (-141)

Ross Stripling and the Toronto Blue Jays (31-28, 4th in AL East) are headed to Fenway Park on Friday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (37-25, 2nd in AL East). The Red Sox open this game at -141 while the Blue Jays are coming in at +110. The O/U has been set at 10.5. The expected starting pitchers are Ross Stripling and Garrett Richards.

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As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 6th in baseball. They have racked up 289 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322. The Blue Jays have accrued 91 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 85 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 272 runs batted in and 513 hits this year, while their batting average is .257. Toronto is slugging .437 and have been called out on strikes 496 times, while drawing a walk on 177 occasions.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.00 over the course of the season (14th in the league), and their staff has rung up 537 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.81 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.29. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 77 home runs in addition to 254 total runs (12th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 191 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.28 as a unit so far this year.

The Blue Jays have sent 203 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 93 runners for the season with 33.3% of them crossed home plate. They have earned 11 saves on the season and have missed out on 7 out of their 18 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 61.1% and stepped onto the hill in 51 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 31 holds for the season (13th in MLB). Blue Jays relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 67 times as well as having 67 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,602 innings, which ranks them 20th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have 1,534 putouts this season, as well as 542 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which has them ranked 14th in the majors, and have accumulated 388 double plays.

Stripling has taken the hill for 478 innings and has 460 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Stripling (25-30 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.95 while he has faced 1,997 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.86 (205 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.246. He has surrendered 475 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) with 121 walks.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .255 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 549 instances (15th in the league) and have totaled 534 base hits. Boston has hit 75 home runs this year as well as 281 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .432 and they average 4.89 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have tallied 138 doubles, while taking a walk 162 times and putting up 303 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.369 with a FIP of 3.51 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.69 (590 strikeouts against 219 free passes). They are currently ranked 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 526. They have conceded 48 long balls and they surrender 4.30 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 260 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.94 (238 earned runs surrendered).

With 71 save situations, the Red Sox have 41 holds and 9 blown saves. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 29 save opportunities and they have walked away with 20 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 73 times in high leverage situations and on 59 occasions with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.2% out of their 93 inherited runners. They rank 8th in the league with a save rate of 69.0%, and they have sent 199 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 59 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 555 assists, 40 errors and have earned 1,633 putouts during this campaign. In their 4,899 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 65.5% (30th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Richards has given up 786 base knocks while tallying 760 strikeouts in 869 frames. He has given up a total of 352 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.275 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and he has faced 3,659 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Richards (51-45 career record) has a 3.64 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-141)

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