Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/14/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+110) Toronto (-141)

Rogers Centre is the site where Jose Berrios and the Toronto Blue Jays (80-63, 2nd in AL East) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (89-54, 1st in AL East) on Tuesday. The Blue Jays open this matchup at -141 while the Rays are coming in at +110. The O/U is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Ryan Yarbrough and Jose Berrios.

The Rays have recorded 257 two-baggers as a team and have hit 198 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay is slugging .428 and have been called out on strikes 1,379 times, while drawing a walk on 517 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 5.4 runs per game, which has them at 1st in MLB. They have compiled 730 RBI's in addition to 1,184 hits this season, and their team batting average sits at .242. They have earned a total of 775 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .320.

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Rays pitchers have surrendered 164 home runs and 598 total runs (12th in the league). They have walked 398 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.79 as a unit this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.34 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20. The Rays have a team ERA of 3.77 for the season (7th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,331 batters.

The Rays bullpen have compiled a save rate of 65.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 138 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 144 runners this season with 29.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Rays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 113 times and also have had 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 461 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen are sitting with 77 holds on the season (10th in the league). They have recorded 38 saves so far this year and have blown 20 out of their 58 save opportunities.

The Rays have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,592 innings on the diamond, ranking them 14th in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have 3,864 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,207 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which ranks 11th in the majors, and they have twisted 921 double plays.

Yarbrough has taken the mound for 480 innings and has totaled 394 strikeouts in his MLB career. Yarbrough (36-20 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.00 while he has gone up against 1,998 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.21 (225 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.173. He has conceded 457 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 107 free passes.

Toronto has tallied 230 home runs for the year as well as 729 RBIs. They have recorded 246 doubles, while getting a free base 448 times and putting up 757 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an OBP of .333 and a batting average of .267 so far this season. The Blue Jays hold a slugging percentage of .466 and they average 5.29 runs per contest (2nd in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,092 occasions (29th in the league) and have tallied 1,292 base hits.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.241 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a unit for the season. They sit at 13th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,119. The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 590 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.89 (535 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.09 (1,290 strikeouts vs 418 walks). They have given up 181 home runs and they give up 4.29 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 45 save chances and they have walked away with 28 saves. They sit at 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have dispatched 479 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 147 times in high leverage situations and on 154 occasions with runners on base. Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of 220 inherited runners. Sitting with 105 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 57 holds and also 17 blown saves.

Out of their 11,145 innings played, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (16th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 108 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (23rd in MLB). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,226 assists, 85 errors and have a tally of 3,715 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, Berrios has allowed 757 hits while he has accumulated 830 strikeouts in 826 frames. He has surrendered 372 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.235 and a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.16 and he has faced 3,488 opposing batters in his career. Berrios (59-45 career record) holds a 4.05 ERA while surrendering 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-141)

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