Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 10/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) New York (-156)

Shane Baz and the Tampa Bay Rays (98-61, 1st in AL East) head to Yankee Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the New York Yankees (91-68, 2nd in AL East). The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays coming in at +125 and the Yankees are at -156. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Shane Baz and Jordan Montgomery.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 5.3 runs per game, which puts them at 1st in the league. They have accumulated 841 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .320. The Rays have hit 284 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 216 balls out of the park. They have recorded 794 RBI's in addition to 1,302 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average is .241. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .426 and have been called out on strikes 1,510 times, while being walked on 573 occasions.

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Rays pitchers have yielded 183 long balls and 645 runs in total (6th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 431 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.36 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.17. The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.70 on the season (4th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,450 hitters.

The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 65.1% and has come into the game in 156 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 163 base runners so far this season with 27.6% of those runners ended up scoring. Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 124 times as well as having 176 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 518 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have tallied 90 holds on the season (8th in baseball). They have earned 41 saves so far this season and have not converted 22 of their 63 save chances.

The Rays have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,864 innings, which ranks them 7th in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 4,288 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,332 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them ranked 9th in baseball, and they have turned 1,018 double plays.

Baz has pitched in 10 innings and has earned 14 punch outs thus far in his career. Baz (2-0 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.25 while he has faced 38 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 1.69 (2 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.563. He has allowed 5 base knocks (4.2 hits per nine innings) with 1 free passes.

The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .410 and they are scoring 4.43 runs per outing (18th in the league). They have recorded 211 doubles, while taking a walk 616 times as well as earning 705 runs. New York has 221 home runs for the season and 660 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,454 occasions (6th in the league) and have totaled 1,249 hits. The New York Yankees are sitting with a team OBP of .324 in addition to a batting average of .239 this year.

The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.201 in addition to having a FIP of 3.87 as a unit on the year. They come in at 6th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,211. The New York pitching staff have conceded 653 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.71 (580 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.20 (1,537 strikeouts against 480 bases on balls). They have allowed 190 home runs and they concede 4.17 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

New York has had relievers enter the contest in 73 save opportunities and they have walked away with 47 saves. They are currently ranked 10th in the league with a save rate of 64.4%, and they have sent 499 relievers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 215 times in high leverage situations and on 155 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.6% of 210 inherited base runners. With 161 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 83 holds in addition to 26 blown saves.

Out of their 12,675 innings played, the Yankees hold a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (12th in MLB). The New York Yankees have twisted 112 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). The Yankees have recorded 1,302 assists, 98 errors and have earned 4,225 putouts during this campaign.

Montgomery (19-16 record in his career) has a 3.88 ERA and has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 and he has gone up against 1,621 batters during his career. He has allowed 166 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.256 and a FIP of 3.8. In his pro baseball career, Montgomery has conceded 364 base hits while he has earned 378 K's in 385 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)

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