Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+120) Houston (-161)

Minute Maid Park is the site where Jose Urquidy and the Houston Astros (91-65, 1st in AL West) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (97-59, 1st in AL East) on Tuesday. The Rays open this game at +120 while the Astros are priced at -161. The O/U opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Drew Rasmussen and Jose Urquidy.

The Rays have tallied 279 doubles as a unit and have knocked 211 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .426 and have struck out 1,485 times, while being walked on 563 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 5.3 runs per contest, which has them at 2nd in baseball. They have amassed 782 RBI's and 1,281 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is at .242. They have tallied 829 runs and have an OBP of .320.

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Rays pitchers have conceded 180 home runs in addition to 638 total runs (7th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 424 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio is 3.37 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.72 over the course of the season (4th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,429 batters.

The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 67.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 152 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 158 base runners so far this season and 27.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. Rays relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 122 times in addition to having 173 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 507 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have notched 88 holds so far this year (10th in the league). They have recorded 41 saves so far this year and have blown 20 of their 61 save opportunities.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with 4,212 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,311 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 1,001 double plays. The Rays have converted 70.3% of balls in play into outs in their 12,636 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 7th in professional baseball.

Rasmussen (4-1 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.42 while going up against 362 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 73 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 34 walks. His ERA is 3.54 (34 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.239. Rasmussen has pitched in 86 innings and has earned 92 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Houston has accounted for 209 HRs on the season and 804 RBIs. They have 292 doubles, while walking 554 times and recording 833 runs. The Houston Astros are sitting with an on-base percentage of .340 as well as a team batting average of .268 over the course of the season. The Astros hold a slugging % of .442 and they are earning 5.34 runs per outing (1st in the league). They have struck out on 1,180 occasions (30th in baseball) and have tallied 1,442 hits.

The Houston pitching staff have given up 628 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (578 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 176 long balls and they relinquish 4.06 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.231 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.65 (1,405 strikeouts against 531 walks). They are currently ranked 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,181.

Houston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 59 save chances and they have come away with 33 saves. They sit at 23rd in baseball holding a save rate of 55.9%, and they have dispatched 494 relievers to the mound for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations and on 135 occasions with runners on. Houston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.7% of 199 inherited runners. Sitting with 125 save situations, the Astros have 65 holds in addition to 26 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 119 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (1st in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 1,372 assists, 63 errors and have 4,173 putouts so far this season. In 12,519 innings played, the Astros have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (3rd in baseball).

During his career, Urquidy has surrendered 138 base knocks and he has 138 punch outs in 166 innings. He has surrendered a total of 65 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.020 and a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.31 and he has faced 661 batters in his career. Urquidy (11-5 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.51 earned run average while conceding 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+120)

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