Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, September 6, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+145) Boston (-192)

Ryan Yarbrough and the Tampa Bay Rays (86-50, 1st in AL East) head to Fenway Park on Monday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (79-59, 3rd in AL East). The line on this matchup has the Rays coming in at +145 and the Red Sox are at -192. The total opens at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Ryan Yarbrough and Chris Sale.

The Rays have tallied 243 two-baggers as a team and have hit 186 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .423 and have been rung up 1,316 times, while being walked on 494 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 5.4 runs per contest, which is 1st in MLB. They have accrued 687 runs batted in as well as 1,106 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .239. They have tallied 728 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319.

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The Rays have an earned run average of 3.67 on the season (5th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,275 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 373 hitters and their FIP is 3.74 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.42 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Rays pitchers have conceded 153 home runs in addition to 553 total runs (8th in the league).

The Rays have dispatched 431 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 134 runners this year with 29.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 38 saves so far this season and have blown 16 out of their 54 save chances. The Rays bullpen have recorded a save rate of 70.4% and stepped onto the hill in 131 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 75 holds for the season (9th in baseball). Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 107 times as well as having 152 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have turned 70.0% of balls in play into outs in their 11,019 innings, which ranks them 10th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 3,673 putouts on the year, as well as 1,146 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which puts them in 10th in MLB, and have a total of 880 double plays.

Yarbrough (36-20 career record) has a FIP of 3.99 while he has faced 1,981 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 449 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 105 free passes. His ERA is 4.10 (218 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.157. Yarbrough has taken the ball for 478 innings and has accumulated 393 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Boston Red Sox have tallied an on-base percentage of .326 as well as a team batting average of .259 for the season. They have been rung up on 1,175 occasions (17th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,205 base hits. Boston has knocked in 183 home runs on the year to go along with 655 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .445 and they are recording 5.03 runs per game (6th in the league). They have hit 280 doubles, while taking a walk 428 times as well as putting up 694 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 630 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.28 (572 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 149 homers and they allow 4.71 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.379 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.76 (1,285 strikeouts against 466 walks). They come in at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,195.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.5% of 226 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 157 times in high leverage situations and on 144 occasions with runners on base. With 148 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 79 holds and 21 blown saves. They sit at 6th in baseball holding a save percentage of 67.2%, and they have sent 460 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 64 save chances and they have walked away with 43 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 121 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (28th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,207 assists, 92 errors and have earned a total of 3,613 putouts for the year. Out of their 10,839 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 66.0% (30th in pro baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Sale has surrendered 1,331 hits while accumulating 2,031 K's in 1,651 innings pitched. He has conceded 554 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.036 and having a FIP of 2.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.36 and he has gone up against 6,630 hitters during his pro baseball career. Sale (112-73 career record) holds a 3.02 ERA and has surrendered 7.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-192)

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