Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 10/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, October 11, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+107) Boston (-117)

Fenway Park is the venue where Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (92-70, 2nd in AL East) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (100-62, 1st in AL East) on Monday in Game 4 of the ALDS. The series is tied 1-1. The Rays open this game at +107 while the Red Sox are priced at -117. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Luis Patino and Nick Pivetta.

Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .428 and have been rung up 1,542 times, while drawing a walk on 585 occasions. They have compiled 810 RBI's and 1,335 hits so far this season, and their batting average is sitting at .242. The Rays have tallied 288 doubles as a team and have knocked 222 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 857 runs and have an on-base percentage of .321. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 5.3 runs per game, which is 2nd in baseball.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Rays have an earned run average of 3.67 on the season (4th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,478 batters. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.39 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have allowed 184 home runs in addition to 651 total runs (5th in MLB). They have walked 436 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.79 as a team this season.

The Rays have sent 531 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 166 base runners on the campaign with 27.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 42 saves so far this year and have missed out on 22 out of their 64 save chances. The Rays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 65.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 159 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 91 holds for the year (9th in MLB). Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 126 times and also have had 180 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a total of 4,367 putouts thus far, as well as 1,358 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 9th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 1,038 double plays. The Rays have turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 13,101 innings, which has them ranked 7th in professional baseball.

Patino has taken the hill for 94 frames and has 95 strikeouts during his MLB career. Patino (6-3 career record) holds a FIP of 4.72 while he has faced 418 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.47 (47 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.373. He has surrendered 87 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 43 walks.

The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .328 and a batting average of .261 so far this season. They have been rung up on 1,386 occasions (20th in MLB) and have a total of 1,434 base knocks. Boston is sitting with 219 home runs over the course of the season and 783 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .449 and they are recording 5.12 runs per game (4th in the league). They have recorded 330 doubles, while getting a free base 512 times and earning 829 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 749 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.26 (671 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 176 homers and they relinquish 4.75 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.378 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.95 as a staff for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.80 (1,527 strikeouts vs 546 walks). They rank 28th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,409.

Sitting with 176 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 95 holds and 27 blown saves. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 76 save opportunities and they have walked away with 49 saves. Their relievers have come in 198 times in high leverage situations in addition to 177 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.7% out of their 277 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 9th in the league with a save percentage of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 563 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

Out of their 12,771 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 65.9% (30th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 143 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,421 assists, 108 errors and have accounted for 4,257 putouts on the campaign.

Pivetta (30-38 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 5.16 ERA while surrendering 9.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.79 and he has faced 2,431 hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 322 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.395 and having a FIP of 4.5. In his MLB career, Pivetta has allowed 565 hits while totaling 609 punch outs in 561 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-117)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here