Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 10/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, October 10, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: MLBN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+108) Boston (-128)

Fenway Park is the site where Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox (92-70, 2nd in AL East) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (100-62, 1st in AL East) on Sunday in Game 3 of the ALDS. The series is tied 1-1. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays priced at +108 and the Red Sox are at -128. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Drew Rasmussen and Nathan Eovaldi.

Tampa Bay is slugging .428 and have been called out on strikes 1,542 times, while taking a walk on 585 occasions. They have earned 810 runs batted in and 1,335 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .242. The Rays have tallied 288 doubles as a team and have hit 222 balls out of the park. They have 857 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 5.3 runs per outing, which has them at 2nd in the league.

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The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.67 so far this season (4th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,478 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.39 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have relinquished 184 home runs in addition to 651 total runs (5th in MLB). They have walked 436 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.79 as a squad on the campaign.

The Rays have sent 531 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 166 runners this season and 27.7% of those runners crossed home plate. They have accumulated 42 saves for the year and have blown 22 out of their 64 save chances. The Rays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 65.6% and stepped onto the hill in 159 save situations. The relievers have recorded 91 holds this season (9th in baseball). Rays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 126 times in addition to having 180 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 13,101 innings, ranking them 7th in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 4,367 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,358 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 9th in baseball, and have earned 1,038 double plays.

Rasmussen (5-1 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.37 and he has faced 378 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 74 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 34 walks. His earned run average is 3.35 (34 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.182. Rasmussen has pitched in 91 frames and has totaled 94 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .449 and they score 5.12 runs per contest (4th in MLB). They have put up 330 two-baggers, while taking a walk 512 times and scoring 829 runs. Boston has compiled 219 home runs this year to go along with 783 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,386 occasions (20th in the league) and have accounted for 1,434 hits. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .261 on the campaign.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.378 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a staff for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.80 (1,527 strikeouts against 546 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,409. They have relinquished 176 long balls and they concede 4.75 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have given up 749 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.26 (671 earned runs given up).

With 176 save situations, the Red Sox have 95 holds and 27 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 76 save chances and they have earned 49 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 198 times in high leverage situations and on 177 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.7% out of their 277 inherited base runners. They sit at 9th in baseball holding a save percentage of 64.5%, and they have sent 563 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year.

In 12,771 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 65.9% (30th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 143 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 1,421 assists, 108 errors and are sitting with 4,257 putouts for the year.

So far in his career, Eovaldi has allowed 1,192 base hits while accumulating 957 punch outs in 1,148 innings. He has allowed a total of 534 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.331 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.85 and he has gone up against 4,895 opposing batters during his career. Eovaldi (61-65 career mark) has a 4.19 earned run average and has given up 9.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+108)

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