St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+155) Milwaukee (-200)

Jon Lester and the St. Louis Cardinals (79-69, 2nd in NL Central) are headed to American Family Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (91-58, 1st in NL Central). The Brewers open this game at -200 while the Cardinals are priced at +155. The over/under opens at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Jon Lester and Brandon Woodruff.

St. Louis is slugging .403 and have been called out on strikes 1,225 times, while drawing a walk on 440 occasions. They have accounted for 606 runs batted in as well as 1,181 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .241. The Cardinals have hit 240 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 171 balls out of the park. They have a total of 628 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals are notching 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 24th in the league.

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The Cardinals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.02 on the campaign (14th in the league), and they have rung up 1,113 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.99 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. Cardinals pitchers have allowed 137 home runs in addition to 625 total runs (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 560 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.30 as a squad so far this year.

The Cardinals have sent 511 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 261 runners over the course of the season and 37.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 44 saves on the campaign and have blown 19 out of their 63 save chances. The Cardinals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 69.8% and has entered the game in 161 save situations. The relief pitchers have 96 holds this season (4th in the league). Cardinals relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 158 times in addition to having 146 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cardinals have turned 71.3% of balls in play into outs out of 11,673 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 3rd in MLB. The St. Louis Cardinals have notched a total of 3,891 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,385 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 16th in MLB, and have accumulated 1,051 double plays.

Lester has taken the ball for 2,724 innings and has earned 2,476 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.65 (1,105 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.277. He has allowed 2,593 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 885 free passes. Lester (199-117 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.77 while he has faced 11,416 opposing hitters in the majors.

Milwaukee has accumulated 180 long balls this season as well as 656 RBIs. They have 237 doubles, while taking a walk 544 times and putting up 692 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have a team on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .236 over the course of the season. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they are earning 4.64 runs per game (10th in the league). They have struck out on 1,352 occasions (9th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,165 base knocks.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 556 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.39 (498 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 149 dingers and they surrender 3.78 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.177 in addition to having a FIP of 3.65 as a team for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.98 (1,507 strikeouts against 506 free passes). They are currently ranked 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,053.

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.0% of 140 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 182 times in high leverage situations and also on 98 occasions with runners on. With 147 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 76 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. They rank 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.3%, and they have dispatched 492 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 69 save chances and they have converted 43 saves.

In 11,916 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (5th in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 94 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in MLB). The Brewers have recorded 1,236 assists, 89 errors and have a tally of 3,972 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Woodruff has allowed 364 hits while he has totaled 511 strikeouts in 450 innings pitched. He has surrendered 162 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.071 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.33 and he has faced 1,814 opposing batters so far in his career. Woodruff (28-20 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.24 ERA and has given up 7.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (+155)

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