St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, September 20, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+165) Milwaukee (-227)

American Family Field is the venue where Freddy Peralta and the Milwaukee Brewers (91-58, 1st in NL Central) will play the St. Louis Cardinals (79-69, 2nd in NL Central) on Monday. The Brewers open this game at -227 while the Cardinals are coming in at +165. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jake Woodford and Freddy Peralta.

As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are knocking in 4.2 runs per outing, which is 24th in MLB. They have notched a total of 620 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .311. The Cardinals have hit 235 doubles as a team and have smacked 171 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 599 runs batted in and 1,170 hits for the year, while their average at the plate is at .240. St. Louis has a slugging rate of .402 and have been called out on strikes 1,219 times, while drawing a walk on 438 occasions.

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Cardinals pitchers have allowed 136 home runs and also 618 runs (11th in the league). They have walked 558 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.30 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.98 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. The Cardinals have an ERA of 4.00 for the year (14th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,107 hitters.

The Cardinals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 69.4% and has come into the game in 158 save situations. The relievers have inherited 259 runners this year with 36.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. Cardinals bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 156 times as well as having 144 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have sent 506 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have tallied 94 holds so far this year (4th in baseball). They have recorded 43 saves for the season and have blown 19 of 62 save opportunities.

The Cardinals have converted 71.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,592 innings, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals have amassed 3,864 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,378 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them ranked 15th in pro baseball, and they have turned 1,043 double plays.

Woodford (3-3 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 5.48 while he has faced 315 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 72 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 26 walks. His ERA is 4.66 (38 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.336. Woodford has pitched in 73 frames and has earned 56 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Milwaukee is sitting with 180 long balls for the season as well as 652 RBIs. They have recorded 235 doubles, while getting a free base 537 times and scoring 688 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with an OBP of .320 as well as a batting average of .236 for the year. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .400 and they are earning 4.65 runs per contest (10th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,350 occasions (8th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,158 base hits.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.175 in addition to having a FIP of 3.64 as a team this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.99 (1,493 strikeouts vs 499 bases on balls). They rank 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,046. They have relinquished 147 homers and they concede 3.76 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 550 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.37 (492 earned runs conceded).

Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 68 save opportunities and they have come away with 43 saves. They sit at 11th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have sent 487 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have come in 179 times in high leverage situations and also on 96 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of 138 inherited runners. Sitting with 144 save situations, the Brewers have earned 74 holds in addition to 25 blown saves.

Out of their 11,835 innings played, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (5th in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have twisted 94 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in pro baseball). The Brewers have 1,227 assists, 89 errors and have accumulated 3,945 putouts for the year.

During his pro baseball career, Peralta has surrendered 230 base knocks while tallying 439 strikeouts in 325 innings pitched. Peralta (25-12 career mark) has a 3.81 earned run average and has surrendered 6.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 138 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.145 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.07 and he has gone up against 1,359 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (+165)

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