St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, April 7, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-147) Miami (+100)

Jack Flaherty and the St. Louis Cardinals (2-2, 3rd in NL Central) are headed to Marlins Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (1-3, 3rd in NL East). The Marlins open this matchup at +100 while the Cardinals are coming in at -147. The over/under opens at 6.5. The expected starting pitchers are Jack Flaherty and Pablo Lopez.

As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals are notching 5.5 runs/g, which ranks them 9th in baseball. They have 22 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .289. The Cardinals have recorded 5 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 6 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 18 RBI's as well as 27 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .205. St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .379 and have struck out 43 times, while being walked on 14 occasions.

The Cardinals have a team earned run average of 7.41 so far this year (28th in the league), and they have struck out 27 batters. They have walked 14 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 5.86 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.93 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.44. Cardinals pitchers have conceded 6 long balls and also 28 total runs (6th in the league).

The Cardinals bullpen compiled a save rate of 72.2% and entered the game in 43 save situations last year. The bullpen inherited 91 runners over the course of last year with 28.6% of them earned a run for their team. Cardinals bullpen pitchers stepped onto the hill with opponents on base in 62 games and also 44 contests with high leverage. The Cardinals dispatched 177 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of last year. The bullpen finished with 22 holds last year (25th in the league). They earned 13 saves over the course of last season and blew 5 out of their 18 save chances.

Flaherty has taken the mound for 413 innings and has tallied 486 K's during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.46 (159 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.081. He has allowed 305 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 142 walks. Flaherty (23-22 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.83 and he has gone up against 1,673 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Miami has compiled 2 home runs so far this year to go along with 15 runs batted in. They have 7 doubles, while taking a walk 10 times and notching 17 runs. The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .299 in addition to a team batting average of .242 on the campaign. The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .371 and they earn 4.25 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have been rung up on 32 occasions (28th in MLB) and have earned a total of 32 base hits.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.056 in addition to having a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They rank 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 27. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 18 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.00 (16 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.55 (39 strikeouts against 11 bases on balls). They have conceded 6 homers and they allow 4.50 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

With 23 opportunities for a save, the Marlins recorded 28 holds in addition to 5 blown saves last year. Miami had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 56 save situations and they earned 18 saves. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 53 games with high leverage in addition to 71 outings with base runners. Miami relievers had an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of their 110 inherited runners. They were ranked 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 78.3%, and they dispatched 215 relief pitchers to the hill last year.

In his MLB career, Lopez has surrendered 219 base knocks while totaling 204 strikeouts in 232 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 113 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.222 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.14 and he has faced 974 batters during his MLB career. Lopez (13-16 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.38 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+100)

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