St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, August 30, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+150) Cincinnati (-196)

Jon Lester and the St. Louis Cardinals (66-62, 3rd in NL Central) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Monday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (71-60, 2nd in NL Central). The Cardinals open this contest at +150 while the Reds are priced at -196. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Jon Lester and Luis Castillo.

As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are compiling 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 25th in baseball. They have tallied 531 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .312. The Cardinals have hit 205 doubles as a unit and have hit 140 balls out of the park. They have recorded 511 RBI's in addition to 1,015 hits so far this year, and their team batting average sits at .239. St. Louis has a slugging % of .395 and have been called out on strikes 1,045 times, while being walked on 392 occasions.

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The Cardinals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.04 on the year (14th in MLB), and they have rung up 985 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 506 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.30 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.95 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.33. Cardinals pitchers have allowed 114 long balls in addition to 544 total runs (13th in MLB).

The Cardinals have sent 439 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 228 runners on the year and 36.4% of those runners crossed home plate. They have 35 saves this season and have missed out on 16 of 51 save opportunities. The Cardinals bullpen have compiled a save rate of 68.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 128 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 75 holds on the year (6th in MLB). Cardinals relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 136 times in addition to having 118 appearances in high leverage situations.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3,367 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,176 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 17th in the majors, and have a total of 904 double plays. The Cardinals have turned 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,101 innings, which has them ranked 4th in professional baseball.

Lester (197-117 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.75 while facing 11,319 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 2,577 base knocks (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 877 walks. His earned run average is 3.66 (1,099 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.280. Lester has taken the hill for 2,699 frames and has racked up 2,460 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Reds have a team slugging % of .433 and they are recording 4.99 runs per contest (6th in the league). They have 238 doubles, while walking 451 times as well as scoring 654 runs. Cincinnati has recorded 181 long balls on the year to go along with 628 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,188 occasions (8th in baseball) and have earned 1,109 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with a team OBP of .331 in addition to a team batting average of .251 so far this season.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.367 and have a FIP of 4.36 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.37 (1,237 strikeouts against 523 bases on balls). They come in at 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,071. They have given up 163 home runs and they surrender 4.75 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 616 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.38 (567 earned runs given up).

With 126 save situations, the Reds have recorded 63 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 61 save opportunities and they have tallied 36 saves. Their relievers have come in 160 times in high leverage situations and on 141 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.6% out of their 215 inherited runners. They are ranked 20th in MLB with a save rate of 59.0%, and they have sent 470 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this year.

In 10,500 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (21st in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 103 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in MLB). The Reds have recorded 1,148 assists, 71 errors and have earned 3,500 putouts so far this season.

Castillo (39-46 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.77 earned run average while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and he has faced 2,792 batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 281 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.217 and having a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Castillo has allowed 570 hits while he has accumulated 729 strikeouts in 670 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (+150)

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