St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 25, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+145) Cincinnati (-192)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Sonny Gray and the Cincinnati Reds (49-47, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the St. Louis Cardinals (49-48, 3rd in NL Central) on Sunday. The Reds open this game at -192 while the Cardinals are priced at +145. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The men taking the mound will be Johan Oviedo and Sonny Gray.

St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .383 and have been rung up 785 times, while being walked on 282 occasions. They have amassed 369 RBI's in addition to 737 hits this season, and their average at the plate is at .231. The Cardinals have hit 147 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 105 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 385 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .302. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are compiling 4.0 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in the league.

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Cardinals pitchers have conceded 82 home runs in addition to 421 runs in total (14th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 417 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a unit this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 1.81 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35. The Cardinals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.16 for the season (15th in the league), and their staff has rung up 754 hitters.

The Cardinals relief pitchers have a save rate of 75.7% and has come into the game in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 188 runners on the campaign and 39.9% of those players earned a run for their team. Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 110 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 333 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 50 holds so far this year (11th in the league). They have recorded 28 saves this year and have blown 9 of 37 save opportunities.

The Cardinals have turned 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,608 innings on the diamond, ranking them 5th in MLB. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated 2,536 putouts this season, in addition to 882 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which has them sitting 10th in professional baseball, and have a total of 676 double plays.

Oviedo (0-8 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 5.15 while facing 377 batters in the majors. He has allowed 80 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 41 free passes. His earned run average is 5.01 (46 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.464. Oviedo has taken the ball for 82 innings and has earned 61 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated an OBP of .328 and a batting average of .246 for the season. They have struck out on 861 occasions (14th in MLB) and have earned a total of 797 base hits. Cincinnati has recorded 118 long balls for the season to go along with 438 runs batted in. The Reds have a team SLG% of .410 and they are scoring 4.79 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have put up 162 two-baggers, while walking 330 times and scoring 460 runs.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.388 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.42 as a unit for the year. They are sitting at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 793. The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 478 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.56 (434 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 (928 strikeouts vs 395 free passes). They have surrendered 125 homers and they concede 5.02 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

With 89 save situations, the Reds have compiled 41 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 46 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 112 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.9% out of their 161 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 20th in the league holding a save rate of 58.7%, and they have sent 354 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 63 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 838 assists, 60 errors and have earned 2,570 putouts over the course of the season. In 7,710 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (23rd in professional baseball).

During his career, Gray has surrendered 1,041 base hits while he has accumulated 1,152 K's in 1,198 innings pitched. Gray (77-68 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.54 earned run average while surrendering 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 472 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.227 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and he has faced 5,001 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-192)

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