St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/23/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 23, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+155) Cincinnati (-200)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (49-47, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the St. Louis Cardinals (48-48, 3rd in NL Central) on Friday. The Reds open this game at -200 while the Cardinals are priced at +155. The total opens at 10.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Wade LeBlanc and Tyler Mahle.

St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .382 and have struck out 767 times, while being walked on 275 occasions. They have 363 runs batted in and 720 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is sitting at .231. The Cardinals have earned 142 doubles as a squad and have knocked 103 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 379 runs and hold an OBP of .301. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.0 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 26th in the league.

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Cardinals pitchers have yielded 82 home runs and 417 total runs (15th in the league). They have walked 412 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.41 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.79 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. The Cardinals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.22 for the season (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 738 batters.

Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 107 times in addition to having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 47 holds on the campaign (13th in the league). The Cardinals bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 77.1% and has entered the game in 84 save situations. They have 27 saves this season and have missed out on 8 of their 35 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 184 runners for the season with 40.8% of them ended up scoring. The Cardinals have sent 326 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Cardinals have converted 71.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,437 innings, which ranks them 5th in baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with 2,479 putouts for the season, in addition to 858 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 11th in professional baseball, and have a total of 661 double plays.

LeBlanc has pitched in 913 innings and has 661 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. LeBlanc (46-49 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.75 and he has gone up against 3,900 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.54 (461 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.350. He has conceded 957 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 276 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated an on-base percentage of .330 in addition to a batting average of .248 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 851 occasions (12th in MLB) and have notched a total of 796 base hits. Cincinnati has compiled 118 long balls so far this year to go along with 438 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .413 and they are scoring 4.84 runs per game (9th in the league). They have 162 two-baggers, while taking a walk 329 times as well as scoring 460 runs.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.385 and have a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff for the year. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 784. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 471 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.54 (427 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.38 (924 strikeouts vs 389 free passes). They have allowed 122 home runs and they surrender 5.00 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).

Cincinnati has had relief pitchers take the mound in 46 save chances and they have come away with 27 saves. They are ranked 21st in baseball holding a save rate of 58.7%, and they have dispatched 350 relievers to the hill this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 121 times in high leverage situations and on 112 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score rate of 42.9% out of their 161 inherited runners. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Reds have accumulated 41 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

Out of their 7,629 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (23rd in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 63 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in MLB). The Reds have recorded 829 assists, 59 errors and have earned 2,543 putouts so far this season.

In his career, Mahle has surrendered 398 hits while tallying 439 strikeouts in 410 innings pitched. Mahle (20-28 career record) has a 4.50 ERA and has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 205 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.354 and having a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.80 and he has faced 1,781 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-200)

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