Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Sunday, September 19, 2021

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-175) Kansas City (+130)

Jackson Kowar and the Kansas City Royals (66-81, 4th in AL Central) host the Seattle Mariners (79-68, 3rd in AL West) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday. The Royals open this game at +130 while the Mariners are coming in at -175. The total is set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Logan Gilbert and Jackson Kowar.

As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 22nd in the league. They are sitting with 627 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .301. The Mariners have tallied 201 doubles as a team and have hit 183 balls out of the park. They have tallied 604 RBI's in addition to 1,087 hits on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .224. Seattle has a slugging % of .382 and have struck out 1,382 times, while taking a walk on 487 occasions.

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Mariners pitchers have relinquished 180 home runs in addition to 688 total runs (17th in the league). They have walked 437 opposing players and their FIP is 4.26 as a team on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. The Mariners have compiled a team ERA of 4.34 on the campaign (17th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,205 hitters.

The Mariners relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 58.9% and has come into the game in 159 save situations. The relievers have inherited 201 base runners this year with 29.9% of them ended up scoring. Mariners pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 152 times and also have had 198 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have dispatched 526 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have a total of 86 holds on the season (6th in the league). They have recorded 43 saves on the campaign and have blown 30 of their 73 save opportunities.

The Seattle Mariners have accounted for 3,922 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,273 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 7th in MLB, and they have turned 1,060 double plays. The Mariners have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,766 innings, which has them sitting 18th in baseball.

Gilbert has taken the ball for 101 innings and has accounted for 115 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.97 (56 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.214. He has surrendered 101 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 22 free passes. Gilbert (5-5 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.65 while he has faced 432 opposing batters in the majors.

Kansas City has hit 154 home runs for the year to go along with 591 RBIs. They have 216 doubles, while getting a free base 385 times and earning 625 runs. The Kansas City Royals have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .306 as well as a batting average of .248 for the season. The Royals hold a slugging percentage of .394 and they average 4.25 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,162 occasions (28th in baseball) and have a total of 1,224 base hits.

The Royals have a WHIP of 1.400 with a FIP of 4.42 as a unit this season. They rank 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,254. The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 725 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.71 (675 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.27 (1,249 strikeouts vs 551 walks). They have allowed 177 long balls and they allow 5.06 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball).

Kansas City has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 56 save opportunities and they have earned 34 saves. They are ranked 17th in baseball with a save rate of 60.7%, and they have sent 507 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 149 times in high leverage situations and also on 148 occasions with base runners. Kansas City relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.3% of 229 inherited runners. Sitting with 133 save situations, the Royals have earned 75 holds and also 22 blown saves.

In their 11,604 innings on the field, the Royals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (27th in pro baseball). The Kansas City Royals have turned 136 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in MLB). The Royals have 1,276 assists, 77 errors and have a tally of 3,868 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Kowar has allowed 24 hits while accumulating 16 strikeouts in 18 innings pitched. He has given up 23 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 2.167 and a FIP of 6.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.07 and he has gone up against 92 opposing batters during his career. Kowar (0-3 win-loss mark in his career) has a 11.50 earned run average while allowing 12.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+130)

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