San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, July 17, 2021

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-141) Washington (+110)

Blake Snell and the San Diego Padres (53-40, 3rd in NL West) go to Nationals Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Washington Nationals (42-47, 4th in NL East). The Padres open this contest at -141 while the Nationals are coming in at +110. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Blake Snell and Patrick Corbin.

San Diego owns a slugging percentage of .404 and have struck out 772 times, while drawing a walk on 355 occasions. They have earned 407 RBI's and 740 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average sits at .241. The Padres have tallied 142 doubles as a squad and have knocked 110 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 428 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in the league.

The Padres have a team earned run average of 3.41 so far this season (3rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 893 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 292 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.87 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 3.06 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Padres pitchers have conceded 103 home runs and 353 total runs (7th in baseball).

The Padres bullpen have a save percentage of 66.0% and has come into the game in 109 save situations. The relievers have inherited 79 runners so far this year and 22.8% of those runners crossed the plate. Padres bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 57 times and also have had 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 348 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have a total of 60 holds for the year (2nd in the league). They have earned 31 saves so far this season and have not converted 16 of their 47 chances to get a save.

The Padres have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,437 innings on the field, which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball. The San Diego Padres have 2,479 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 813 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which ranks 26th in professional baseball, and they have turned 647 double plays.

Snell (45-33 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.60 while he has faced 2,611 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 521 base knocks (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 276 free passes. His ERA is 3.43 (239 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.272. Snell has taken the ball for 626 innings and has earned 741 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Nationals hold a slugging % of .406 and they have an average of 4.18 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have recorded 136 doubles, while walking 273 times and notching 372 runs. Washington has accumulated 97 home runs so far this season as well as 355 RBIs. They have struck out on 743 occasions (24th in the league) and have 737 base hits. The Washington Nationals have earned an on-base percentage of .325 as well as a team batting average of .253 this season.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.264 and have a FIP of 4.40 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.69 (757 strikeouts vs 281 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 682. They have conceded 115 home runs and they concede 4.57 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Washington pitching staff have allowed 387 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.12 (349 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 78 save situations, the Nationals have accrued 45 holds and 11 blown saves. Washington has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 32 save opportunities and they have earned 21 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 79 times in high leverage situations in addition to 74 occasions with runners on. Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.2% out of their 111 inherited base runners. They sit at 11th in MLB with a save rate of 65.6%, and they have sent 301 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

In 6,858 innings played, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (8th in the majors). The Washington Nationals have turned 60 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (13th in MLB). The Nationals have accrued 742 assists, 49 errors and have earned 2,286 putouts on the campaign.

Corbin (78-75 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.95 ERA while giving up 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.25 and he has gone up against 5,532 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 574 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.292 and a FIP of 3.8. In his MLB career, Corbin has conceded 1,298 base knocks while he has earned 1,268 punch outs in 1,306 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+110)

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